Football · Paraguay Women League · 09/08, 01:00
Prediction: Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Team pages: Libertad Limpeno (W) · Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.17Total
Libertad Limpeno (W)3.09
Sportivo Trinidense (W)1.09
1X2
Libertad Limpeno (W)
Draw
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Libertad Limpeno (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Libertad Limpeno (W)
4–1
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
(5 last)
- Sportivo Trinidense (W)0-3Libertad Limpeno (W)
- Sportivo Trinidense (W)1-4Libertad Limpeno (W)
- Sportivo Trinidense (W)0-6Libertad Limpeno (W)
- Libertad Limpeno (W)9-0Sportivo Trinidense (W)
- Sportivo Trinidense (W)1-0Libertad Limpeno (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Libertad Limpeno (W) 1637 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1490
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 93% | 6% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.17 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Libertad Limpeno (W) (rating 1637 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Libertad Limpeno (W): 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.9 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Libertad Limpeno (W) 4–0–1 Sportivo Trinidense (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) |
| 30/03/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Libertad Limpeno (W) |
| 11/08/24 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Libertad Limpeno (W) |
| 26/05/24 Paraguay Women League | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 9-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
| 21/07/23 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Libertad Limpeno (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 72 | 6 | 41 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 60 | 2 | 38 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Guarani (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 22 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 22 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 17 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu (W) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 50 | 10 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 7 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Libertad Limpeno (W) | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani (W) | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 11-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 11-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertad Limpeno (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Libertad Limpeno (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
7-0 | 11-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/07 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 11-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
6-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Libertad Limpeno (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Libertad Limpeno (W) 85%, draw 9%, Sportivo Trinidense (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
The model expects 4.17 goals (Libertad Limpeno (W) 3.09 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.