Football · Paraguay Women League · 08/08, 21:00

Prediction: 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)

Team pages: 2 de Mayo (W) · Sportivo Ameliano (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

2 de Mayo (W)2.29

Sportivo Ameliano (W)1.76

1X2

49% 22% 29%

2 de Mayo (W) Draw Sportivo Ameliano (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

2 de Mayo (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLDLL

Sportivo Ameliano (W) 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDDLLD

Head-to-head

2 de Mayo (W) 2–2–2 Sportivo Ameliano (W) (6 last)

Sportivo Ameliano (W)0-22 de Mayo (W)
Sportivo Ameliano (W)1-12 de Mayo (W)
2 de Mayo (W)2-3Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Sportivo Ameliano (W)0-42 de Mayo (W)
2 de Mayo (W)0-2Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Sportivo Ameliano (W)0-02 de Mayo (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo (W) 1429 · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1379

	2 de Mayo (W)	Draw	Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Our model	49%	21%	29%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 2 de Mayo (W) (rating 1429 vs 1379).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	2 de Mayo (W)	Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 4.1	0.8 / 4.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.4 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.7	3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.6	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 2.2 · xG: 5.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:24 +8’	1.83	3.90	3.20
22:03 +4’	1.83	4.10▲	3.10▼
01:38 +7’	1.83	4.00▼	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo (W) 2–2–2 Sportivo Ameliano (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	2 de Mayo (W)
16/11/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	2 de Mayo (W)
16/05/25 Paraguay Women League	2 de Mayo (W)	2-3 HT 0-0	Sportivo Ameliano (W)
28/02/25 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	2 de Mayo (W)
07/07/24 Paraguay Women League	2 de Mayo (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Sportivo Ameliano (W)
22/04/24 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	2 de Mayo (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	15	13	2	0	72	6	41
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	14	12	2	0	60	2	38
3	Cerro Porteno (W)	15	9	3	3	54	10	30
4	Club Guarani (W)	15	9	3	3	28	19	30
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	15	7	1	7	42	34	22
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	16	7	1	8	26	37	22
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	13	6	2	5	18	18	20
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	15	5	2	8	19	35	17
9	Rubio Nu (W)	14	2	4	8	11	38	10
10	2 de Mayo (W)	15	3	1	11	21	50	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	15	1	4	10	8	55	7
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	14	0	3	11	9	64	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	2 de Mayo (W)	Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Cerro Porteno (W)	0-6 L	0-4 L
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
Olimpia Asuncion (W)	0-5 L	0-10 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	1-3 L	2-6 L
Libertad Limpeno (W)	1-11 L	0-11 L
Rubio Nu (W)	1-3 L	1-1 D
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	2-4 L	2-3 L
Club Guarani (W)	2-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

2 de Mayo (W)

LLLLLWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-6	0	3	L
26/07	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/07	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	2-2	6	7	D
18/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-5	0	4	L
12/07	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	5-0	4	2	W
28/06	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
31/05	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	1-11	0	2	L
24/05	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-3	6	11	L
16/05	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	2-2	2-4	4	4	L
10/05	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	–	2-4	–	–	L

Sportivo Ameliano (W)

LLLLLDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
25/07	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-2	2-6	7	4	L
19/07	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-7	0-11	2	3	L
16/07	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
13/07	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
28/06	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-3	3	6	L
30/05	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
24/05	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	2-6	5	3	L
17/05	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-5	0-10	0	1	L
11/05	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 2 de Mayo (W) win (49%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo (W) 49%, draw 22%, Sportivo Ameliano (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)?

The model expects 4.05 goals (2 de Mayo (W) 2.29 · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1.76), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.