Football · Paraguay Women League · 01/08, 22:30

Prediction: Club Guarani (W) vs Libertad Limpeno (W)

Team pages: Club Guarani (W) · Libertad Limpeno (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Club Guarani (W)0.85

Libertad Limpeno (W)2.73

1X2

9% 15% 77%

Club Guarani (W) Draw Libertad Limpeno (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Club Guarani (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWLWLD

Libertad Limpeno (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Club Guarani (W) 1–3–2 Libertad Limpeno (W) (6 last)

Libertad Limpeno (W)1-1Club Guarani (W)
Club Guarani (W)2-2Libertad Limpeno (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)1-0Club Guarani (W)
Club Guarani (W)0-0Libertad Limpeno (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)0-1Club Guarani (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)3-0Club Guarani (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Guarani (W) 1548 · Libertad Limpeno (W) 1623

	Club Guarani (W)	Draw	Libertad Limpeno (W)
Our model	8%	15%	76%
Market	9%	14%	77%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Libertad Limpeno (W) (rating 1548 vs 1623).
H2H favours Libertad Limpeno (W): 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Guarani (W)	Libertad Limpeno (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	4.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	2.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	2.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

110.00

X6.50

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.85

2 (-2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 10.00▲	Bet365 10.00
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:26 +11’	9.00	6.50	1.18
00:32 +1’	10.00▲	6.50	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Guarani (W) 1–3–2 Libertad Limpeno (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Paraguay Women League	Libertad Limpeno (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Guarani (W)
16/11/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women	Club Guarani (W)	2-2 HT 0-2	Libertad Limpeno (W)
18/05/25 Paraguay Women League	Libertad Limpeno (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Guarani (W)
02/03/25 Paraguay Women League	Club Guarani (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Libertad Limpeno (W)
26/10/24 Paraguay Copa EFE Women	Libertad Limpeno (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Club Guarani (W)
03/09/24 Paraguay Women League	Libertad Limpeno (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Club Guarani (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	14	12	2	0	69	6	38
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	12	10	2	0	52	2	32
3	Club Guarani (W)	14	9	3	2	28	16	30
4	Cerro Porteno (W)	14	8	3	3	48	10	27
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	14	7	1	6	41	32	22
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	15	7	1	7	26	31	22
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	12	5	2	5	15	18	17
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	13	4	2	7	17	32	14
9	2 de Mayo (W)	14	3	1	10	21	44	10
10	Rubio Nu (W)	13	2	4	7	11	35	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	14	1	3	10	8	55	6
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	13	0	2	11	9	64	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Guarani (W)	Libertad Limpeno (W)
Rubio Nu (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Olimpia Asuncion (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	4-1 W	3-0 W
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	2-0 W	11-0 W
Cerro Porteno (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Nacional-Humaita (W)	1-1 D	3-1 W
2 de Mayo (W)	4-2 W	11-1 W
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	5-0 W	9-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	8 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Libertad Limpeno (W) (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Guarani (W)

WWDWWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	7	8	D
22/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	1-4	4	7	L
18/07	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	4-1	7	3	W
05/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-3	4	8	L
28/06	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
30/05	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
23/05	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
17/05	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
10/05	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	–	4-2	–	–	W
01/05	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W

Libertad Limpeno (W)

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
19/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	7-0	11-0	4	3	W
06/07	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
27/06	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
31/05	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	11-1	10	2	W
24/05	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	6-0	9-0	9	2	W
17/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
10/05	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
02/05	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	3-0	10	6	W
25/04	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	3-0	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Guarani (W) vs Libertad Limpeno (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Libertad Limpeno (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Club Guarani (W) 9%, draw 15%, Libertad Limpeno (W) 77%.

How many goals are expected in Club Guarani (W) vs Libertad Limpeno (W)?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Club Guarani (W) 0.85 · Libertad Limpeno (W) 2.73), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Guarani (W) vs Libertad Limpeno (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.