Football · Paraguay Women League · 02/08, 00:30
Prediction: Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)
Team pages: Olimpia Asuncion (W) · Nacional-Humaita (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.62Total
Olimpia Asuncion (W)3.31
Nacional-Humaita (W)1.31
1X2
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Draw
Nacional-Humaita (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Nacional-Humaita (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
6–0
Nacional-Humaita (W)
(6 last)
- Nacional-Humaita (W)0-3Olimpia Asuncion (W)
- Olimpia Asuncion (W)3-1Nacional-Humaita (W)
- Nacional-Humaita (W)0-3Olimpia Asuncion (W)
- Olimpia Asuncion (W)7-1Nacional-Humaita (W)
- Olimpia Asuncion (W)6-0Nacional-Humaita (W)
- Nacional-Humaita (W)0-3Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 1644 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 1459
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | Draw | Nacional-Humaita (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 94% | 4% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.62 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (W) (rating 1644 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | Nacional-Humaita (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.9 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 6–0–0 Nacional-Humaita (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Paraguay Women League | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) |
| 17/11/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
| 17/08/25 Paraguay Women League | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) |
| 13/04/25 Paraguay Women League | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 7-1 HT 5-0 | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
| 28/07/24 Paraguay Women League | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
| 10/05/24 Paraguay Women League | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 69 | 6 | 38 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 2 | 32 |
| 3 | Club Guarani (W) | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 22 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 31 | 22 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 10 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 10 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 6 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Guarani (W) | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 7-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 7-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 10-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-0 D | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
3-0 | 7-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
5-0 | 10-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Nacional-Humaita (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Asuncion (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Olimpia Asuncion (W) 85%, draw 8%, Nacional-Humaita (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
The model expects 4.62 goals (Olimpia Asuncion (W) 3.31 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 1.31), with a 58% chance of under 5.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.