Football · Paraguay Women League · 02/08, 20:00

Prediction: Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)

Team pages: Sportivo Trinidense (W) · Rubio Nu (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Sportivo Trinidense (W)2.14

Rubio Nu (W)0.84

1X2

67% 20% 13%

Sportivo Trinidense (W) Draw Rubio Nu (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Trinidense (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDWLLL

Rubio Nu (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLDDDD

Head-to-head

Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1–0 Rubio Nu (W) (1 last)

Rubio Nu (W)0-1Sportivo Trinidense (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1507 · Rubio Nu (W) 1463

	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	Draw	Rubio Nu (W)
Our model	66%	21%	13%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Trinidense (W) (rating 1507 vs 1463).
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	Rubio Nu (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	0.8 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +2’	1.33	4.75	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1–0–0 Rubio Nu (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Paraguay Women League	Rubio Nu (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Sportivo Trinidense (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	14	12	2	0	69	6	38
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	12	10	2	0	52	2	32
3	Club Guarani (W)	14	9	3	2	28	16	30
4	Cerro Porteno (W)	14	8	3	3	48	10	27
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	14	7	1	6	41	32	22
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	15	7	1	7	26	31	22
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	12	5	2	5	15	18	17
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	13	4	2	7	17	32	14
9	2 de Mayo (W)	14	3	1	10	21	44	10
10	Rubio Nu (W)	13	2	4	7	11	35	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	14	1	3	10	8	55	6
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	13	0	2	11	9	64	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	Rubio Nu (W)
Club Guarani (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	3-2 W	1-1 D
Cerro Porteno (W)	1-1 D	0-6 L
Nacional-Humaita (W)	0-1 L	3-2 W
2 de Mayo (W)	4-2 W	3-1 W
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Trinidense (W)

WWLDWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-4	0	6	L
26/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
18/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
15/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-0	8	2	W
12/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
28/06	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	3-2	7	6	W
30/05	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
23/05	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-1	1	9	L
16/05	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-2	4-2	8	4	W
12/05	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-0	3	9	W

Rubio Nu (W)

LLDWWLDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
20/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
16/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
29/06	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-6	0	2	L
31/05	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
24/05	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	3-1	0	11	W
16/05	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
09/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-5	2	5	L
02/05	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-3	0	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Trinidense (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Sportivo Trinidense (W) 67%, draw 20%, Rubio Nu (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Sportivo Trinidense (W) 2.14 · Rubio Nu (W) 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.