Football · Poland III Liga · 16/08, 12:00

Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rakow Czestochowa II

Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin II · Rakow Czestochowa II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Zaglebie Lubin II2.21
Rakow Czestochowa II1.43
1X2
54% 22% 23%
Zaglebie Lubin II Draw Rakow Czestochowa II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zaglebie Lubin II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLLLWD
Rakow Czestochowa II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLLWWDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaglebie Lubin II 1455 · Rakow Czestochowa II 1516
Zaglebie Lubin IIDrawRakow Czestochowa II
Our model55%22%24%
Market54%23%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rakow Czestochowa II (rating 1455 vs 1516).
  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zaglebie Lubin IIRakow Czestochowa II
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 22.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.20.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 6.33.1 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.4 / 0.1

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zaglebie Lubin II

LWLWLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Polonia Nysa
Poland III Liga
1-2 2-2 D
01/08 Sparta Katowice
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-0 84 W
15/07 Odra Bytom Odrzanski
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 71 L
11/07 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Europe Friendlies
0-3 0-4 91 L
30/05 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Poland III Liga
1-3 2-3 44 L
22/05 Miedz Legnica II
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-3 98 L
15/05 Warta Gorzow
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 11 W
12/05 Carina Gubin
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-4 73 L
08/05 LZS Starowice Dolne
Poland III Liga
2-0 5-0 52 W
01/05 Slowianin Woliborz
Poland III Liga
1-2 1-2 L

Rakow Czestochowa II

WWWLLWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Odra Bytom Odrzanski
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-1 75 L
31/07 Gornik Polkowice
Poland III Liga
1-2 4-5 52 L
17/06 KS Stilon Gorzow
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-0 102 D
13/06 Ruch Zdzieszowice
Poland IV Liga
0-1 2-1 06 W
06/06 Ruch Radzionkow
Poland IV Liga
3-0 4-0 92 W
16/05 ROW 1964 Rybnik
Poland IV Liga
0-2 2-3 46 L
06/05 LKS Belk
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-3 85 L
01/05 Rozwoj Katowice
Poland IV Liga
3-0 7-0 90 W
12/04 Szombierki Bytom
Poland IV Liga
2-0 3-0 55 W
01/04 Polonia Laziska Gorne
Poland IV Liga
0-1 5-1 142 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rakow Czestochowa II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Lubin II win (54%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin II 54%, draw 22%, Rakow Czestochowa II 23%.

How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rakow Czestochowa II?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Zaglebie Lubin II 2.21 · Rakow Czestochowa II 1.43), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rakow Czestochowa II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.