Football · Poland III Liga · 23/08, 17:00
Prediction: Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Chelmianka Chelm
Team pages: Naprzod Jedrzejow · Chelmianka Chelm
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Naprzod Jedrzejow1.23
Chelmianka Chelm2
1X2
Naprzod Jedrzejow
Draw
Chelmianka Chelm
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Naprzod Jedrzejow
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Chelmianka Chelm
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0–2
Chelmianka Chelm
(2 last)
- Chelmianka Chelm2-0Naprzod Jedrzejow
- Naprzod Jedrzejow0-2Chelmianka Chelm
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelmianka Chelm (rating 1440 vs 1610).
- H2H favours Chelmianka Chelm: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naprzod Jedrzejow | Chelmianka Chelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.3 | 1.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naprzod Jedrzejow 0–0–2 Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Poland III Liga | Chelmianka Chelm | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Naprzod Jedrzejow |
| 09/11/25 Poland III Liga | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chelmianka Chelm |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Chelmianka Chelm | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Wisla Krakow II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Czarni Polaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | JKS Jaroslaw | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Moravia Morawica | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naprzod Jedrzejow | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Moravia Morawica | 2-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Wislanie Jaskowice | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Star Starachowice | 1-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelmianka Chelm (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
3-3 | 5-4 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Stal Krasnik Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Chelmianka Chelm?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelmianka Chelm win (54%). Probabilities: Naprzod Jedrzejow 22%, draw 24%, Chelmianka Chelm 54%.
How many goals are expected in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Naprzod Jedrzejow 1.23 · Chelmianka Chelm 2), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.