Football · Poland III Liga · 23/08, 18:00

Prediction: Wigry Suwalki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Team pages: Wigry Suwalki · MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Wigry Suwalki2.14

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki1.08

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Wigry Suwalki Draw MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wigry Suwalki 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWDWD

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWWDL

Head-to-head

Wigry Suwalki 4–1–1 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki (6 last)

Wigry Suwalki3-2MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki2-3Wigry Suwalki
Wigry Suwalki0-1MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki0-3Wigry Suwalki
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki2-2Wigry Suwalki
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki0-1Wigry Suwalki

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigry Suwalki (rating 1582 vs 1478).
H2H favours Wigry Suwalki: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wigry Suwalki	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.5	4.4 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.91

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.61
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75
2	4.17 → 4.17	Pinn 4.17

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:16 +3’	1.61	3.75	4.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigry Suwalki 4–1–1 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Poland III Liga	Wigry Suwalki	3-2 HT 2-0	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
15/11/25 Poland III Liga	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	2-3 HT 1-1	Wigry Suwalki
18/04/25 Poland III Liga	Wigry Suwalki	0-1 HT 0-0	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
21/09/24 Poland III Liga	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	0-3 HT 0-1	Wigry Suwalki
23/01/21 Europe Friendlies	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	2-2 HT 2-2	Wigry Suwalki
23/07/16 Poland Cup	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	0-1 HT 0-1	Wigry Suwalki

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wislanie Jaskowice	5	4	1	0	9	3	13
2	Chelmianka Chelm	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
3	Wisla Krakow II	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
4	Czarni Polaniec	5	3	0	2	8	8	9
5	KSZO Ostrowiec	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
6	JKS Jaroslaw	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
7	Wieczysta Krakow II	5	2	1	2	8	8	7
8	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	5	2	1	2	5	5	7
9	Wisloka Debica	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Hetman Zamosc	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
11	Naprzod Jedrzejow	4	2	0	2	9	11	6
12	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
14	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5
15	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
16	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	4	0	1	3	2	6	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wigry Suwalki

WWWWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
14/08	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
07/08	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/08	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/05	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-0	3-2	6	3	W
22/05	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	KS Wasilkow Poland III Liga	3-0	3-0	6	1	W
13/05	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
09/05	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
02/05	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-1	3-1	7	1	W

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

LWWLLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
08/08	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	3-0	4-0	15	2	W
01/08	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	7	10	W
30/05	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	0-2	2-3	6	3	L
23/05	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-2	2-3	7	3	L
17/05	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
13/05	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-0	3-2	3	2	W
09/05	Znicz Biala Piska Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	GKS Wikielec Poland III Liga	2-1	2-4	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wigry Suwalki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wigry Suwalki win (61%). Probabilities: Wigry Suwalki 61%, draw 22%, MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 17%.

How many goals are expected in Wigry Suwalki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Wigry Suwalki 2.14 · MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wigry Suwalki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.