Football · China Division 2 · 29/07, 13:00
Prediction: Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion
Team pages: Beijing Institute · Nantong Haimen Codion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Beijing Institute0.88
Nantong Haimen Codion1.68
1X2
Beijing Institute
Draw
Nantong Haimen Codion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Beijing Institute
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Nantong Haimen Codion
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Beijing Institute
1–2–3
Nantong Haimen Codion
(6 last)
- Nantong Haimen Codion2-2Beijing Institute
- Nantong Haimen Codion3-1Beijing Institute
- Beijing Institute2-3Nantong Haimen Codion
- Beijing Institute1-2Nantong Haimen Codion
- Nantong Haimen Codion1-1Beijing Institute
- Beijing Institute1-0Nantong Haimen Codion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beijing Institute 1439 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1465
| Beijing Institute | Draw | Nantong Haimen Codion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 26% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 25% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nantong Haimen Codion: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Institute | Nantong Haimen Codion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Institute 1–2–3 Nantong Haimen Codion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Beijing Institute |
| 12/07/25 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Beijing Institute |
| 07/05/25 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
| 28/07/24 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
| 25/05/24 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Beijing Institute |
| 02/07/23 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
| 8 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 16 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| 9 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 15 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 13 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beijing Institute | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Red Lions | 1-6 L | 1-0 W |
| Dalian Kewei | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Changchun Xidu | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Shanghai Segenda | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 5 L | 1 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Institute (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Institute
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
Nantong Haimen Codion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Haimen Codion win (56%). Probabilities: Beijing Institute 19%, draw 26%, Nantong Haimen Codion 56%.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Beijing Institute 0.88 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1.68), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Beijing Institute vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.