Football · China Division 2 · 08/08, 10:30

Prediction: Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shandong Taishan Reserves

Team pages: Shanghai Port Reserves · Shandong Taishan Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Shanghai Port Reserves1.31

Shandong Taishan Reserves1.03

1X2

42% 30% 28%

Shanghai Port Reserves Draw Shandong Taishan Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Shanghai Port Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDLWWLWL

Shandong Taishan Reserves 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWWDD

Head-to-head

Shanghai Port Reserves 3–2 Shandong Taishan Reserves (5 last)

Shandong Taishan Reserves0-1Shanghai Port Reserves
Shanghai Port Reserves2-0Shandong Taishan Reserves
Shandong Taishan Reserves1-2Shanghai Port Reserves
Shandong Taishan Reserves3-2Shanghai Port Reserves
Shanghai Port Reserves0-1Shandong Taishan Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Port Reserves 1516 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1553

	Shanghai Port Reserves	Draw	Shandong Taishan Reserves
Our model	42%	30%	28%
Market	42%	30%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shanghai Port Reserves: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shanghai Port Reserves	Shandong Taishan Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	3.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:25 +14’	2.15	3.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port Reserves 3–0–2 Shandong Taishan Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 China Division 2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Shanghai Port Reserves
19/07/25 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Shandong Taishan Reserves
11/05/25 China Division 2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	1-2 HT 1-0	Shanghai Port Reserves
13/10/24 China Division 2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	3-2 HT 2-0	Shanghai Port Reserves
08/09/24 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Shandong Taishan Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shanghai Port Reserves	19	11	4	4	33	15	37
2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	19	11	4	4	28	17	37
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	19	11	3	5	27	15	36
4	Dalian Kewei	19	8	9	2	18	10	33
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	19	8	5	6	23	20	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	19	5	9	5	17	18	24
7	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	19	3	12	4	10	14	21
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
9	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
10	Changchun Xidu	19	2	10	7	10	23	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	19	2	8	9	19	33	14
12	Beijing Institute	19	1	6	12	13	36	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shanghai Port Reserves	Shandong Taishan Reserves
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-1 L	1-0 W
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	2-1 W	0-2 L
Tai'an Tiankuang	2-3 L	1-0 W
Changchun Xidu	2-0 W	1-1 D
Beijing Institute	5-1 W	3-1 W
Dalian Kewei	0-1 L	2-2 D
Nantong Haimen Codion	2-2 D	0-0 D
Qingdao Red Lions	1-2 L	1-0 W
Shanghai Segenda	1-1 D	2-1 W
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan Reserves (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanghai Port Reserves

WDLDLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
01/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
26/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
18/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	6	W
04/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	4-1	5-1	9	1	W
27/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
23/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	2-2	3	3	D
14/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
26/05	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	2	W

Shandong Taishan Reserves

LDWWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-1	2-2	9	1	D
25/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
18/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
12/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
28/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	14	2	W
24/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
20/06	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
27/05	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port Reserves win (42%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port Reserves 42%, draw 30%, Shandong Taishan Reserves 28%.

How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.31 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.03), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.