Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 02/08, 22:00
Prediction: LDU Quito vs Delfin SC
Team pages: LDU Quito · Delfin SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
LDU Quito1.82
Delfin SC0.48
1X2
LDU Quito
Draw
Delfin SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
LDU Quito
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Delfin SC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LDU Quito
3–1–2
Delfin SC
(6 last)
- Delfin SC1-0LDU Quito
- Delfin SC0-4LDU Quito
- LDU Quito3-0Delfin SC
- Delfin SC3-2LDU Quito
- LDU Quito2-1Delfin SC
- Delfin SC0-0LDU Quito
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LDU Quito 1501 · Delfin SC 1487
| LDU Quito | Draw | Delfin SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 23% | 8% |
| Market | 70% | 20% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours LDU Quito: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Quito | Delfin SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 2.1 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Quito 3–1–2 Delfin SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | LDU Quito |
| 07/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | LDU Quito |
| 08/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Delfin SC |
| 29/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | LDU Quito |
| 16/04/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Delfin SC |
| 09/10/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LDU Quito |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Macara | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | SD Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 35 |
| 5 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 34 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 17 | 32 |
| 7 | Leones FC | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 31 |
| 8 | Emelec | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 27 |
| 11 | Tecnico Universitario | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 26 |
| 12 | Orense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 25 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 27 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LDU Quito | Delfin SC |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Guayaquil | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Manta FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Leones FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Club Atletico Libertad | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Macara | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LDU Quito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 16/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 02/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Delfin SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Banos Ciudad de Fuego Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LDU Quito vs Delfin SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Quito win (70%). Probabilities: LDU Quito 70%, draw 21%, Delfin SC 9%.
How many goals are expected in LDU Quito vs Delfin SC?
The model expects 2.3 goals (LDU Quito 1.82 · Delfin SC 0.48), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in LDU Quito vs Delfin SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.