Prediction: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec
- Supra du Quebec0-1Cavalry FC
| Cavalry FC | Draw | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1554 vs 1495).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 1–0–0 Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 21 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 16 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 14 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 13 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver FC | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| HFX Wanderers | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Atletico Ottawa | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Inter Toronto | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Forge FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavalry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Woodbridge Strikers Canada Championships |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavalry FC win (60%). Probabilities: Cavalry FC 60%, draw 22%, Supra du Quebec 18%.
How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Cavalry FC 2.16 · Supra du Quebec 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.