Football · Canada Premier League · 02/08, 03:00

Prediction: Cavalry FC vs Inter Toronto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Cavalry FC2.35

Inter Toronto0.93

1X2

68% 19% 13%

Cavalry FC Draw Inter Toronto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Cavalry FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLDDL

Inter Toronto 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Cavalry FC 3–1–2 Inter Toronto (6 last)

Inter Toronto1-5Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC1-1Inter Toronto
Cavalry FC4-1Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto3-1Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC0-1Inter Toronto
Cavalry FC2-1Inter Toronto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cavalry FC 1554 · Inter Toronto 1443

	Cavalry FC	Draw	Inter Toronto
Our model	68%	19%	12%
Market	69%	19%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1554 vs 1443).
H2H favours Cavalry FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cavalry FC	Inter Toronto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +3’	1.30	4.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 3–1–2 Inter Toronto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-5 HT 0-2	Cavalry FC
25/04/26 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Inter Toronto
26/10/25 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	4-1 HT 2-1	Inter Toronto
06/09/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	3-1 HT 1-0	Cavalry FC
26/07/25 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Inter Toronto
09/06/25 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Inter Toronto

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Forge FC	13	11	1	1	23	8	34
2	Cavalry FC	13	8	3	2	23	7	27
3	Atletico Ottawa	14	6	3	5	22	25	21
4	Vancouver FC	14	6	2	6	21	15	20
5	HFX Wanderers	15	4	4	7	20	24	16
6	Supra du Quebec	12	4	2	6	18	23	14
7	Inter Toronto	12	3	4	5	15	25	13
8	Pacific FC (CA)	13	0	3	10	15	30	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cavalry FC	Inter Toronto
Vancouver FC	0-1 L	0-4 L
HFX Wanderers	1-1 D	1-1 D
Atletico Ottawa	3-0 W	1-1 D
Forge FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Pacific FC (CA)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cavalry FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
18/07	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	0	0	D
14/07	Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
09/07	Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships	1-1	1-4	1	4	L
04/07	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/06	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	2-0	5-1	2	3	W
07/06	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	2-0	9	5	W
31/05	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
24/05	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
18/05	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-0	2-0	3	6	W

Inter Toronto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
18/07	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/07	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-4	0-4	4	3	L
11/06	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-2	1-5	2	3	L
07/06	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-2	1-4	2	3	L
30/05	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
23/05	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
17/05	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
10/05	CS Saint-Laurent Canada Championships	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
02/05	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	4-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cavalry FC vs Inter Toronto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavalry FC win (68%). Probabilities: Cavalry FC 68%, draw 19%, Inter Toronto 13%.

How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Cavalry FC 2.35 · Inter Toronto 0.93), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cavalry FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.