Prediction: Pacific FC (CA) vs Supra du Quebec
- Supra du Quebec1-1Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)2-3Supra du Quebec
| Pacific FC (CA) | Draw | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Supra du Quebec (rating 1390 vs 1495).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pacific FC (CA) | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.5 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacific FC (CA) 0–1–1 Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 12/04/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Supra du Quebec |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 21 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 16 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 14 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 13 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pacific FC (CA) | Supra du Quebec |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Ottawa | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| HFX Wanderers | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Vancouver FC | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Inter Toronto | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Supra du Quebec (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Championships |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Woodbridge Strikers Canada Championships |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pacific FC (CA) vs Supra du Quebec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pacific FC (CA) win (37%). Probabilities: Pacific FC (CA) 37%, draw 25%, Supra du Quebec 37%.
How many goals are expected in Pacific FC (CA) vs Supra du Quebec?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Pacific FC (CA) 1.81 · Supra du Quebec 1.81), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Pacific FC (CA) vs Supra du Quebec?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.