Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 01/08, 21:00
Prediction: Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Everton de Vina1.09
Colo Colo1.61
1X2
Everton de Vina
Draw
Colo Colo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Everton de Vina
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Colo Colo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton de Vina
0–1–5
Colo Colo
(6 last)
- Colo Colo2-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina1-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo2-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina0-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo4-1Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina0-1Colo Colo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton de Vina 1501 · Colo Colo 1578
| Everton de Vina | Draw | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 27% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1501 vs 1578).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton de Vina | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 3.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton de Vina 0–1–5 Colo Colo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 10/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 10/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 25/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 30/03/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Everton de Vina |
| 28/01/24 Club Friendly List | Everton de Vina | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 39 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | La Serena | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 12 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 32 | 14 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Everton de Vina | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| O'Higgins | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 08/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Millonarios America Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colo Colo win (48%). Probabilities: Everton de Vina 25%, draw 27%, Colo Colo 48%.
How many goals are expected in Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Everton de Vina 1.09 · Colo Colo 1.61), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.