Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 08/08, 23:30
Prediction: Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena
Team pages: Coquimbo Unido · La Serena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Coquimbo Unido1.8
La Serena0.96
1X2
Coquimbo Unido
Draw
La Serena
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Coquimbo Unido
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
La Serena
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coquimbo Unido
3–2–1
La Serena
(6 last)
- La Serena0-1Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido2-1La Serena
- La Serena2-4Coquimbo Unido
- La Serena2-0Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido1-1La Serena
- Coquimbo Unido1-1La Serena
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coquimbo Unido 1545 · La Serena 1444
| Coquimbo Unido | Draw | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1545 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coquimbo Unido | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coquimbo Unido 3–2–1 La Serena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 22/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 2-1 HT 0-0 | La Serena |
| 31/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 06/04/25 Chile Cup | La Serena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 02/02/25 Chile Cup | Coquimbo Unido | 1-1 HT 0-0 | La Serena |
| 24/06/23 Chile Cup | Coquimbo Unido | 1-1 HT 0-0 | La Serena |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 8 | Everton de Vina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 12 | La Serena | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Universidad de Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 19 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportes Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 13 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
La Serena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 02/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coquimbo Unido win (56%). Probabilities: Coquimbo Unido 56%, draw 25%, La Serena 19%.
How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Coquimbo Unido 1.8 · La Serena 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.