Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 09/08, 21:00
Prediction: O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache
Team pages: O'Higgins · Deportes Limache
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
O'Higgins1.84
Deportes Limache1.24
1X2
O'Higgins
Draw
Deportes Limache
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
O'Higgins
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Limache
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
O'Higgins
1–3–1
Deportes Limache
(5 last)
- Deportes Limache1-1O'Higgins
- O'Higgins1-1Deportes Limache
- Deportes Limache2-1O'Higgins
- Deportes Limache2-2O'Higgins
- O'Higgins3-1Deportes Limache
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · O'Higgins 1535 · Deportes Limache 1462
| O'Higgins | Draw | Deportes Limache | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours O'Higgins (rating 1535 vs 1462).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O'Higgins | Deportes Limache | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · O'Higgins 1–3–1 Deportes Limache
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Deportes Limache | 1-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 23/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | O'Higgins | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Limache |
| 14/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 2-1 HT 1-1 | O'Higgins |
| 23/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 2-2 HT 1-0 | O'Higgins |
| 29/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Deportes Limache |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 8 | Everton de Vina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 12 | La Serena | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Universidad de Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 19 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportes Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 13 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | O'Higgins | Deportes Limache |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Concepcion | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Colo Colo | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Boca Juniors Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/07 | Boca Juniors Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/07 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 26/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Deportes Limache
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 02/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache?
According to our model, the most likely result is a O'Higgins win (50%). Probabilities: O'Higgins 50%, draw 26%, Deportes Limache 24%.
How many goals are expected in O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache?
The model expects 3.08 goals (O'Higgins 1.84 · Deportes Limache 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.