Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 09/08, 23:30
Prediction: Union La Calera vs Colo Colo
Team pages: Union La Calera · Colo Colo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Union La Calera1.05
Colo Colo1.89
1X2
Union La Calera
Draw
Colo Colo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union La Calera
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Colo Colo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union La Calera
0–6
Colo Colo
(6 last)
- Colo Colo1-0Union La Calera
- Colo Colo4-1Union La Calera
- Union La Calera0-1Colo Colo
- Union La Calera0-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo3-1Union La Calera
- Colo Colo2-0Union La Calera
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union La Calera 1494 · Colo Colo 1584
| Union La Calera | Draw | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 25% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1494 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union La Calera | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 3.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union La Calera 0–0–6 Colo Colo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union La Calera |
| 24/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Union La Calera |
| 01/06/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 17/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 29/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Union La Calera |
| 12/11/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Union La Calera |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 8 | Everton de Vina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 12 | La Serena | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Universidad de Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 19 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportes Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 13 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union La Calera | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Everton de Vina | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union La Calera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Millonarios America Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union La Calera vs Colo Colo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colo Colo win (56%). Probabilities: Union La Calera 19%, draw 25%, Colo Colo 56%.
How many goals are expected in Union La Calera vs Colo Colo?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Union La Calera 1.05 · Colo Colo 1.89), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs Colo Colo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.