Football · Malawi Super League · 26/07, 14:30

Prediction: Mighty Wanderers vs Masters FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Mighty Wanderers2.09
Masters FC0.64
1X2
71% 20% 9%
Mighty Wanderers Draw Masters FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Mighty Wanderers 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
LWDWWWDDWW
Masters FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLLLWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mighty Wanderers 1578 · Masters FC 1501
Mighty WanderersDrawMasters FC
Our model70%20%9%
Market71%20%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mighty Wanderers (rating 1578 vs 1501).
  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mighty WanderersMasters FC
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.51.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 52.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 01.9 / 0

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blue Eagles 11713 181222
2 Mighty Wanderers 10631 20621
3 Silver Strikers 10631 18421
4 Big Bullets 11551 12720
5 Ekhaya FC 11443 12716
6 Moyale Barracks 11443 111216
7 Masters FC 10514 131216
8 Chitipa United 11515 91316
9 Red Lions 11434 101115
10 Mitundu Baptist FC 10424 91014
11 MAFCO 10334 9812
12 Civil Service Utd 11326 61211
13 Dedza Dynamos 11326 71711
14 Karonga United 10235 10189
15 Kamuzu Barracks 10217 9167
16 Creck SC 10127 6145

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMighty WanderersMasters FC
Dedza Dynamos 1-1 D 4-0 W
Ekhaya FC 1-1 D 0-2 L
Creck SC 2-0 W 1-3 L
Chitipa United 4-0 W 1-0 W
Karonga United 4-1 W 2-1 W
Silver Strikers 0-0 D 0-3 L
Mitundu Baptist FC 2-0 W 2-0 W
Big Bullets 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mighty Wanderers (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mighty Wanderers

LWDWWWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-0 51 W
05/07 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-0 92 W
28/06 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 44 D
20/06 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 34 D
14/06 Creck SC
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 2-0 42 W
31/05 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
3-0 4-0 35 W
27/05 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
3-1 4-1 102 W
24/05 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 34 D
16/05 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
2-0 2-0 41 W
10/05 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-2 L

Masters FC

WWWLWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-1 2-2 15 D
05/07 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 70 W
29/06 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 L
21/06 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
0-2 1-3 71 L
30/05 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 32 L
24/05 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
2-0 4-0 11 W
17/05 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-3 34 L
11/05 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 91 W
03/05 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
1-1 2-1 32 W
26/04 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mighty Wanderers vs Masters FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mighty Wanderers win (71%). Probabilities: Mighty Wanderers 71%, draw 20%, Masters FC 9%.

How many goals are expected in Mighty Wanderers vs Masters FC?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Mighty Wanderers 2.09 · Masters FC 0.64), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mighty Wanderers vs Masters FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.