Football · Malawi Super League · 26/07, 14:30
Prediction: Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Kamuzu Barracks1.22
MAFCO0.88
1X2
Kamuzu Barracks
Draw
MAFCO
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kamuzu Barracks
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
MAFCO
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kamuzu Barracks
1–3–1
MAFCO
(5 last)
- Kamuzu Barracks2-2MAFCO
- MAFCO0-4Kamuzu Barracks
- Kamuzu Barracks1-2MAFCO
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamuzu Barracks 1443 · MAFCO 1474
| Kamuzu Barracks | Draw | MAFCO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kamuzu Barracks | MAFCO | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamuzu Barracks 1–3–1 MAFCO
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 2-2 HT 2-1 | MAFCO |
| 19/04/25 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Kamuzu Barracks |
| 16/11/24 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 1-2 HT 1-0 | MAFCO |
| 24/09/22 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MAFCO |
| 01/07/18 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MAFCO |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Red Lions | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Civil Service Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kamuzu Barracks | MAFCO |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Eagles | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Chitipa United | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Big Bullets | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Dedza Dynamos | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Ekhaya FC | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Creck SC | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Karonga United | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Silver Strikers | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: MAFCO (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamuzu Barracks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
MAFCO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 04/01 | Blue Eagles Malawi Challenge Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kamuzu Barracks win (43%). Probabilities: Kamuzu Barracks 43%, draw 32%, MAFCO 26%.
How many goals are expected in Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Kamuzu Barracks 1.22 · MAFCO 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.