Football · Malawi Super League · 25/07, 14:30
Prediction: Blue Eagles vs Red Lions
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Blue Eagles1.29
Red Lions0.72
1X2
Blue Eagles
Draw
Red Lions
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Blue Eagles
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Red Lions
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blue Eagles
3–3–0
Red Lions
(6 last)
- Red Lions0-2Blue Eagles
- Blue Eagles2-1Red Lions
- Blue Eagles1-1Red Lions
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blue Eagles 1524 · Red Lions 1508
| Blue Eagles | Draw | Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Blue Eagles: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blue Eagles | Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blue Eagles 3–3–0 Red Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/23 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 27/06/23 Malawi Challenge Cup | Blue Eagles | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Red Lions |
| 16/04/23 Malawi Super League | Blue Eagles | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
| 20/04/22 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Blue Eagles |
| 04/09/21 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 17/01/21 Malawi Super League | Blue Eagles | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Red Lions | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Civil Service Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blue Eagles | Red Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Civil Service Utd | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Karonga United | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Creck SC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Big Bullets | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Dedza Dynamos | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Silver Strikers | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Chitipa United | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Red Lions (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blue Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/09 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Challenge Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blue Eagles vs Red Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Blue Eagles win (50%). Probabilities: Blue Eagles 50%, draw 30%, Red Lions 20%.
How many goals are expected in Blue Eagles vs Red Lions?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Blue Eagles 1.29 · Red Lions 0.72), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Blue Eagles vs Red Lions?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.