Prediction: Chitipa United vs Ekhaya FC
- Ekhaya FC3-0Chitipa United
- Chitipa United1-0Ekhaya FC
| Chitipa United | Draw | Ekhaya FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 34% | 36% |
| Market | 31% | 31% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekhaya FC (rating 1475 vs 1552).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chitipa United | Ekhaya FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chitipa United 1–0–1 Ekhaya FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Malawi Super League | Ekhaya FC | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Chitipa United |
| 21/04/25 Malawi Super League | Chitipa United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ekhaya FC |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Red Lions | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Civil Service Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chitipa United | Ekhaya FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu Barracks | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Mighty Wanderers | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| MAFCO | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Moyale Barracks | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Masters FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ekhaya FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chitipa United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
Ekhaya FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Top 8 Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Top 8 Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Big Bullets Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chitipa United vs Ekhaya FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ekhaya FC win (37%). Probabilities: Chitipa United 30%, draw 33%, Ekhaya FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Chitipa United vs Ekhaya FC?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Chitipa United 0.89 · Ekhaya FC 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Chitipa United vs Ekhaya FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.