Football · Malawi Super League · 25/07, 14:30
Prediction: Civil Service Utd vs Moyale Barracks
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Civil Service Utd1.11
Moyale Barracks0.83
1X2
Civil Service Utd
Draw
Moyale Barracks
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Civil Service Utd
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Moyale Barracks
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Civil Service Utd
2–3–1
Moyale Barracks
(6 last)
- Civil Service Utd3-0Moyale Barracks
- Moyale Barracks1-1Civil Service Utd
- Civil Service Utd1-0Moyale Barracks
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Civil Service Utd 1487 · Moyale Barracks 1491
| Civil Service Utd | Draw | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Civil Service Utd: 2-3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Civil Service Utd | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Civil Service Utd 2–3–1 Moyale Barracks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 26/04/25 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Civil Service Utd |
| 28/09/24 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 15/07/23 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Moyale Barracks |
| 25/09/22 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Moyale Barracks |
| 26/03/22 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Civil Service Utd |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Red Lions | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Civil Service Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Civil Service Utd | Moyale Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Eagles | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Creck SC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Silver Strikers | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Karonga United | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Chitipa United | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Ekhaya FC | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Dedza Dynamos | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Civil Service Utd (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Civil Service Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Top 8 Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Moyale Barracks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Civil Service Utd vs Moyale Barracks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Civil Service Utd win (41%). Probabilities: Civil Service Utd 41%, draw 32%, Moyale Barracks 27%.
How many goals are expected in Civil Service Utd vs Moyale Barracks?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Civil Service Utd 1.11 · Moyale Barracks 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Civil Service Utd vs Moyale Barracks?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.