Prediction: Karonga United vs Creck SC
- Creck SC1-0Karonga United
- Karonga United1-0Creck SC
| Karonga United | Draw | Creck SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karonga United (rating 1472 vs 1418).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Karonga United | Creck SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karonga United 1–0–1 Creck SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/25 Malawi Super League | Creck SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Karonga United |
| 26/07/25 Malawi Super League | Karonga United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Creck SC |
Standings · Malawi Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Red Lions | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Civil Service Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Karonga United | Creck SC |
|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Blue Eagles | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Mighty Wanderers | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Civil Service Utd | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| MAFCO | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Karonga United (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karonga United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Silver Strikers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Creck SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karonga United vs Creck SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Karonga United win (48%). Probabilities: Karonga United 48%, draw 31%, Creck SC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Karonga United vs Creck SC?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Karonga United 1.27 · Creck SC 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Karonga United vs Creck SC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.