Football · Malawi Super League · 26/07, 14:30

Prediction: Mitundu Baptist FC vs Silver Strikers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
Mitundu Baptist FC0.52
Silver Strikers1.43
1X2
13% 27% 59%
Mitundu Baptist FC Draw Silver Strikers
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mitundu Baptist FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWLWDW
Silver Strikers 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDWDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mitundu Baptist FC 1500 · Silver Strikers 1548
Mitundu Baptist FCDrawSilver Strikers
Our model12%29%58%
Market14%25%60%
Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silver Strikers (rating 1500 vs 1548).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mitundu Baptist FCSilver Strikers
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 11.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.72.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 0.23.3 / 0.2

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mighty Wanderers 10631 20621
2 Silver Strikers 10631 18421
3 Big Bullets 10550 12620
4 Blue Eagles 10613 151019
5 Ekhaya FC 10442 12616
6 Masters FC 10514 131216
7 Red Lions 10433 8815
8 Mitundu Baptist FC 10424 91014
9 Moyale Barracks 10343 101213
10 Chitipa United 10415 81313
11 MAFCO 10334 9812
12 Civil Service Utd 10325 61111
13 Karonga United 10235 10189
14 Dedza Dynamos 10226 6178
15 Kamuzu Barracks 10217 9167
16 Creck SC 10127 6145

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMitundu Baptist FCSilver Strikers
Blue Eagles 3-2 W 0-1 L
Civil Service Utd 3-0 W 1-1 D
Red Lions 0-1 L 3-0 W
Mighty Wanderers 0-2 L 0-0 D
Masters FC 0-2 L 3-0 W
MAFCO 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Silver Strikers (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mitundu Baptist FC

DWLLLWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 23 W
05/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 42 D
27/06 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-2 31 W
21/06 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-2 53 L
30/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-0 31 W
23/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 43 L
16/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-2 31 L
11/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 31 L
02/05 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 53 W
26/04 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 53 D

Silver Strikers

LWDWWDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 4-1 41 W
12/07 Karonga United
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 0-3 23 L
05/07 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 16 D
28/06 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
2-0 3-0 91 W
20/06 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 41 D
14/06 Karonga United
Malawi Top 8 Cup
2-0 2-0 68 W
30/05 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 83 W
24/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 24 D
17/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
2-0 3-0 74 W
10/05 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Silver Strikers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Silver Strikers win (59%). Probabilities: Mitundu Baptist FC 13%, draw 27%, Silver Strikers 59%.

How many goals are expected in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Silver Strikers?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Mitundu Baptist FC 0.52 · Silver Strikers 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Silver Strikers?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.