Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 16/09, 03:00

Prediction: Dorados vs Cancun FC

Team pages: Dorados · Cancun FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Dorados1.65

Cancun FC1.39

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Dorados Draw Cancun FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dorados 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDDLLW

Cancun FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWLWD

Head-to-head

Dorados 2–1–3 Cancun FC (6 last)

Cancun FC3-1Dorados
Dorados0-1Cancun FC
Cancun FC1-0Dorados
Dorados4-1Cancun FC
Cancun FC2-2Dorados
Dorados1-0Cancun FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cancun FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dorados	Cancun FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.1	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.99

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.58 → 2.58	Pinn 2.58
X	3.51 → 3.55▲	Pinn 3.55
2	2.48 → 2.52▲	Pinn 2.52

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:22 +10’	2.58	3.51	2.48
04:14 +13’	2.58	3.55▲	2.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorados 2–1–3 Cancun FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Cancun FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Dorados
03/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Dorados	0-1 HT 0-0	Cancun FC
09/03/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Cancun FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Dorados
30/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Dorados	4-1 HT 4-1	Cancun FC
10/04/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Cancun FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Dorados
13/08/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion	Dorados	1-0 HT 0-0	Cancun FC

Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Universidad Guadalajara	7	5	1	1	17	8	16
2	Atletico Morelia	7	5	0	2	16	9	15
3	Club Atletico La Paz	7	4	1	2	15	7	13
4	Venados FC	8	4	1	3	21	17	13
5	Piratas	8	3	3	2	10	6	12
6	Correcaminos	8	3	3	2	17	15	12
7	Mineros de Zacatecas	7	3	2	2	17	14	11
8	Tapatio	7	3	2	2	12	11	11
9	Cancun FC	7	3	1	3	13	10	10
10	Jaiba Brava	8	3	1	4	10	14	10
11	Oaxaca	8	3	1	4	7	12	10
12	Dorados	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
13	Tlaxcala FC	8	2	2	4	14	17	8
14	Alacranes de Durango	8	2	2	4	4	9	8
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	8	1	4	3	10	14	7
16	Tepatitlan FC	8	1	0	7	5	27	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dorados	Cancun FC
Atletico Morelia	0-1 L	1-4 L
Tapatio	3-1 W	1-0 W
Correcaminos	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dorados (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorados

LWLWWDDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	3-1	4-1	1	8	W
29/08	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
21/08	Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-2	2-4	2	2	L
16/08	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	2-2	4	5	D
07/08	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
31/07	Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	2-0	0	5	W
18/04	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	3-1	3	8	W
04/04	Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
29/03	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
22/03	Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	0-2	2	10	L

Cancun FC

WLDLLWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
06/09	Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	6-0	4	5	W
28/08	Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	1-2	7	9	L
23/08	Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
16/08	Alacranes de Durango Mexico Liga de Expansion	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
09/08	Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-1	1-4	5	6	L
02/08	Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-2	0-2	0	7	L
04/05	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-1	13	5	D
01/05	Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion	0-0	1-2	0	5	L
27/04	Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorados vs Cancun FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorados win (43%). Probabilities: Dorados 43%, draw 26%, Cancun FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Dorados vs Cancun FC?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Dorados 1.65 · Cancun FC 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dorados vs Cancun FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.