Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 20/09, 03:00
Prediction: Jaiba Brava vs Dorados
Team pages: Jaiba Brava · Dorados
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Jaiba Brava1.79
Dorados1.28
1X2
Jaiba Brava
Draw
Dorados
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Jaiba Brava
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Dorados
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jaiba Brava
5–1–0
Dorados
(6 last)
- Jaiba Brava2-0Dorados
- Dorados2-3Jaiba Brava
- Dorados0-1Jaiba Brava
- Jaiba Brava4-3Dorados
- Jaiba Brava1-1Dorados
- Dorados0-1Jaiba Brava
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Jaiba Brava: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jaiba Brava | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaiba Brava 5–1–0 Dorados
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Jaiba Brava | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dorados |
| 28/09/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Jaiba Brava |
| 23/03/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Jaiba Brava |
| 23/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Jaiba Brava | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Dorados |
| 27/01/22 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Jaiba Brava | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dorados |
| 12/12/21 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Jaiba Brava |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Morelia | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Universidad Guadalajara | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Club Atletico La Paz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Dorados | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 6 | Piratas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 12 |
| 8 | Cancun FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 11 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | Jaiba Brava | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 10 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | Alacranes de Durango | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan FC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jaiba Brava | Dorados |
|---|---|---|
| Tlaxcala FC | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Venados FC | 4-3 W | 2-4 L |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Oaxaca | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Tapatio | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Tepatitlan FC | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dorados (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaiba Brava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
3-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 30/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
Dorados
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaiba Brava vs Dorados?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jaiba Brava win (48%). Probabilities: Jaiba Brava 48%, draw 25%, Dorados 26%.
How many goals are expected in Jaiba Brava vs Dorados?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Jaiba Brava 1.79 · Dorados 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Jaiba Brava vs Dorados?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.