Football · Malawi Super League · 25/07, 14:30
Prediction: Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Dedza Dynamos0.6
Big Bullets1.34
1X2
Dedza Dynamos
Draw
Big Bullets
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dedza Dynamos
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Big Bullets
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dedza Dynamos
0–2–4
Big Bullets
(6 last)
- Dedza Dynamos1-2Big Bullets
- Big Bullets3-0Dedza Dynamos
- Dedza Dynamos0-1Big Bullets
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dedza Dynamos 1433 · Big Bullets 1560
| Dedza Dynamos | Draw | Big Bullets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 31% | 54% |
| Market | 17% | 28% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Big Bullets (rating 1433 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Big Bullets: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dedza Dynamos | Big Bullets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 3.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dedza Dynamos 0–2–4 Big Bullets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Malawi Challenge Cup | Dedza Dynamos | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Big Bullets |
| 27/09/25 Malawi Super League | Big Bullets | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 14/05/25 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Big Bullets |
| 06/04/24 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Big Bullets |
| 24/09/23 Malawi Challenge Cup | Big Bullets | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 15/07/23 Malawi Super League | Big Bullets | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Dedza Dynamos |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Red Lions | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Civil Service Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dedza Dynamos | Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Masters FC | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Blue Eagles | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Red Lions | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Moyale Barracks | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Big Bullets (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dedza Dynamos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Big Bullets
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/06 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Big Bullets win (55%). Probabilities: Dedza Dynamos 16%, draw 29%, Big Bullets 55%.
How many goals are expected in Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Dedza Dynamos 0.6 · Big Bullets 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Dedza Dynamos vs Big Bullets?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.