Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 25/08, 21:15
Prediction: Afturelding vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Team pages: Afturelding · Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.02Total
Afturelding2.89
Grotta Seltjarnarnes1.13
1X2
Afturelding
Draw
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Afturelding
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Afturelding
4–2–0
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
(6 last)
- Grotta Seltjarnarnes1-3Afturelding
- Afturelding2-0Grotta Seltjarnarnes
- Grotta Seltjarnarnes1-4Afturelding
- Afturelding1-1Grotta Seltjarnarnes
- Afturelding1-1Grotta Seltjarnarnes
- Grotta Seltjarnarnes2-3Afturelding
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Afturelding 1597 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1480
| Afturelding | Draw | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Market | 73% | 15% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.02 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Afturelding (rating 1597 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Afturelding: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Afturelding | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.7 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.7 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Afturelding 4–2–0 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Afturelding |
| 06/02/26 Iceland League Cup | Afturelding | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
| 18/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Afturelding |
| 03/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
| 02/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
| 26/05/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Afturelding |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 39 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 37 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 37 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 35 |
| 5 | Njardvik | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 35 |
| 6 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 27 |
| 7 | IF Vestri | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 27 |
| 8 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 25 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 25 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 20 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 61 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Afturelding | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
|---|---|---|
| KF Aegir | 7-0 W | 6-1 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Grindavik | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Volsungur | 6-1 W | 2-2 D |
| IR Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Njardvik | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Afturelding (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Afturelding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 13/08 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
4-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 03/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 8-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/08 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/08 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 27/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Afturelding vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Afturelding win (73%). Probabilities: Afturelding 73%, draw 15%, Grotta Seltjarnarnes 12%.
How many goals are expected in Afturelding vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?
The model expects 4.02 goals (Afturelding 2.89 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.13), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Afturelding vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.