Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: Volsungur vs IR Reykjavik

Team pages: Volsungur · IR Reykjavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Volsungur1.61

IR Reykjavik1.92

1X2

32% 24% 44%

Volsungur Draw IR Reykjavik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Volsungur 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLWLWWWL

IR Reykjavik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Volsungur 1–1–4 IR Reykjavik (6 last)

IR Reykjavik4-4Volsungur
Volsungur2-3IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik1-0Volsungur
Volsungur2-0IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik3-0Volsungur
IR Reykjavik3-2Volsungur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volsungur 1499 · IR Reykjavik 1511

	Volsungur	Draw	IR Reykjavik
Our model	32%	24%	44%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IR Reykjavik: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Volsungur	IR Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.93
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.19 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:20 +4’	2.88	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +1’	3.53	3.89	1.86
14:44 +1’	2.93▼	3.57▼	2.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Volsungur 1–1–4 IR Reykjavik

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild	IR Reykjavik	4-4 HT 3-1	Volsungur
19/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Volsungur	2-3 HT 1-3	IR Reykjavik
03/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild	IR Reykjavik	1-0 HT 1-0	Volsungur
15/07/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Volsungur	2-0 HT 1-0	IR Reykjavik
13/05/23 Iceland 2 Deild	IR Reykjavik	3-0 HT 2-0	Volsungur
03/09/22 Iceland 2 Deild	IR Reykjavik	3-2 HT 1-2	Volsungur

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	20	13	3	4	62	31	42
2	Throttur Reykjavik	20	11	4	5	41	23	37
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	20	12	1	7	45	33	37
4	HK Kopavogur	20	11	2	7	47	35	35
5	Njardvik	20	11	2	7	36	26	35
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	20	8	3	9	35	38	27
7	IF Vestri	20	8	3	9	30	39	27
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	20	7	4	9	30	30	25
9	IR Reykjavik	20	7	4	9	36	41	25
10	Grindavik	20	4	9	7	20	31	21
11	Volsungur	20	5	5	10	27	43	20
12	KF Aegir	20	2	2	16	22	61	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Volsungur	IR Reykjavik
Njardvik	0-4 L	3-1 W
IF Vestri	2-0 W	0-1 L
KF Aegir	2-0 W	3-2 W
HK Kopavogur	3-2 W	1-5 L
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-3 L	2-0 W
Grindavik	2-0 W	0-0 D
Throttur Reykjavik	0-1 L	1-1 D
Afturelding	1-6 L	0-1 L
Leiknir Reykjavik	3-3 D	1-2 L
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Volsungur

DDLLWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
17/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/08	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
09/08	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
29/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-3	1	5	L
24/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	13	2	W
18/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
11/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-4	1-6	7	9	L
04/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	6	8	D
27/06	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-2	3	5	D

IR Reykjavik

LLDLDWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
17/08	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
06/08	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	3-2	10	4	W
25/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
18/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
14/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-5	6	2	L
10/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
03/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
26/06	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Volsungur vs IR Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IR Reykjavik win (44%). Probabilities: Volsungur 32%, draw 24%, IR Reykjavik 44%.

How many goals are expected in Volsungur vs IR Reykjavik?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Volsungur 1.61 · IR Reykjavik 1.92), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Volsungur vs IR Reykjavik?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.