Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur

Team pages: Grindavik · HK Kopavogur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Grindavik1.59

HK Kopavogur2.01

1X2

30% 23% 47%

Grindavik Draw HK Kopavogur

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Grindavik 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLWDL

HK Kopavogur 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Grindavik 2–2–2 HK Kopavogur (6 last)

HK Kopavogur2-2Grindavik
HK Kopavogur3-3Grindavik
Grindavik2-1HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur4-0Grindavik
Grindavik4-3HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur2-1Grindavik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grindavik 1483 · HK Kopavogur 1543

	Grindavik	Draw	HK Kopavogur
Our model	30%	23%	47%
Market	30%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HK Kopavogur (rating 1483 vs 1543).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grindavik	HK Kopavogur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	2.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.9	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.80

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.05 ★
2	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.03

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:15 +3’	3.00	3.80	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:26 +1’	3.15	4.04	1.95
14:38	2.95▼	4.05▲	2.03▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik 2–2–2 HK Kopavogur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild	HK Kopavogur	2-2 HT 2-1	Grindavik
17/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild	HK Kopavogur	3-3 HT 1-1	Grindavik
09/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	2-1 HT 0-1	HK Kopavogur
11/02/23 Iceland League Cup	HK Kopavogur	4-0 HT 1-0	Grindavik
10/09/22 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	4-3 HT 2-1	HK Kopavogur
05/07/22 Iceland 1 Deild	HK Kopavogur	2-1 HT 1-0	Grindavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	20	13	3	4	62	31	42
2	Throttur Reykjavik	20	11	4	5	41	23	37
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	20	12	1	7	45	33	37
4	HK Kopavogur	20	11	2	7	47	35	35
5	Njardvik	20	11	2	7	36	26	35
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	20	8	3	9	35	38	27
7	IF Vestri	20	8	3	9	30	39	27
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	20	7	4	9	30	30	25
9	IR Reykjavik	20	7	4	9	36	41	25
10	Grindavik	20	4	9	7	20	31	21
11	Volsungur	20	5	5	10	27	43	20
12	KF Aegir	20	2	2	16	22	61	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grindavik	HK Kopavogur
Fylkir Reykjavik	1-6 L	2-0 W
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	0-0 D	1-2 L
Throttur Reykjavik	2-1 W	3-0 W
Afturelding	1-4 L	2-2 D
Leiknir Reykjavik	1-0 W	2-1 W
Volsungur	0-2 L	2-3 L
IR Reykjavik	0-0 D	5-1 W
Njardvik	4-5 L	2-3 L
IF Vestri	0-0 D	6-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogur (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grindavik

DLWDLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-6	9	4	L
17/08	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
13/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
07/08	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-4	3	2	L
29/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
24/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
18/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
14/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
10/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	4-5	1	4	L
04/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

HK Kopavogur

WLWWWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/08	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/08	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
09/08	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
24/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	4	3	L
20/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-2	9	1	W
14/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	5-1	6	2	W
10/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-3	4-3	5	3	W
03/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	1-2	4	10	L
26/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HK Kopavogur win (47%). Probabilities: Grindavik 30%, draw 23%, HK Kopavogur 47%.

How many goals are expected in Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Grindavik 1.59 · HK Kopavogur 2.01), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.