Football · Argentina Championship Women · 26/07, 16:00

Prediction: Belgrano (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

Belgrano (W)1.27

Social Atletico Television (W)0.65

1X2

51% 31% 18%

Belgrano (W) Draw Social Atletico Television (W)

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Belgrano (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWLDDDWWWW

Social Atletico Television (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Belgrano (W) 2–2–2 Social Atletico Television (W) (6 last)

Social Atletico Television (W)1-0Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)2-0Social Atletico Television (W)
Social Atletico Television (W)1-0Belgrano (W)
Social Atletico Television (W)1-1Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)2-0Social Atletico Television (W)
Social Atletico Television (W)1-1Belgrano (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belgrano (W) 1540 · Social Atletico Television (W) 1508

	Belgrano (W)	Draw	Social Atletico Television (W)
Our model	50%	32%	18%
Market	51%	30%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belgrano (W)	Social Atletico Television (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	1.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.77

2 (+0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.27
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.29 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +2’	1.75	3.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +1’	1.70	3.22	5.16
15:02	1.71▲	3.27▲	5.29▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano (W) 2–2–2 Social Atletico Television (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Belgrano (W)
06/09/25 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Social Atletico Television (W)
12/03/25 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Belgrano (W)
19/10/24 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Belgrano (W)
08/06/24 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Social Atletico Television (W)
02/09/23 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Belgrano (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banfield (W)	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	Boca Juniors (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Belgrano (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Huracan (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Lanus (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	River Plate (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	San Lorenzo (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Gimnasia LP (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Racing Club (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	San Luis FC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Social Atletico Television (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Union Santa Fe (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	CA Independiente Women	1	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belgrano (W)	Social Atletico Television (W)
River Plate (W)	2-1 W	0-3 L
Banfield (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Gimnasia LP (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Newell's Old Boys (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Racing Club (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
Boca Juniors (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Lanus (W)	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Belgrano (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belgrano (W)

LWLDDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
13/07	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
08/07	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/07	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
26/06	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
19/06	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
14/06	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
23/05	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
16/05	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
09/05	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	2-3	4	3	L

Social Atletico Television (W)

WWDDDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
13/07	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
08/07	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
05/07	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
27/06	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
19/06	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
14/06	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
24/05	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/05	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	5-0	7	0	W
08/05	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belgrano (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Belgrano (W) 51%, draw 31%, Social Atletico Television (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Belgrano (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?

The model expects 1.91 goals (Belgrano (W) 1.27 · Social Atletico Television (W) 0.65), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Belgrano (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.