Prediction: Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Lanus (W)

Team pages: Newell's Old Boys (W) · Lanus (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Newell's Old Boys (W)1.09
Lanus (W)0.77
1X2
42% 32% 25%
Newell's Old Boys (W) Draw Lanus (W)
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's Old Boys (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLLWL
Lanus (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWDWLLDW
Head-to-head
Newell's Old Boys (W) 1–0 Lanus (W) (1 last)
  • Lanus (W)0-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1424 · Lanus (W) 1505
Newell's Old Boys (W)DrawLanus (W)
Our model41%34%24%
Market43%31%26%
Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanus (W) (rating 1424 vs 1505).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Newell's Old Boys (W)Lanus (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.40.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.20.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/78/22%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.82.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.13.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's Old Boys (W) 100 Lanus (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Argentina Championship Women
Lanus (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Newell's Old Boys (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 San Luis FC (W) 110 413
2 Banfield (W) 110 303
3 Union Santa Fe (W) 110 203
4 San Lorenzo (W) 110 213
5 Huracan (W) 110 103
5 Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 110 103
5 Social Atletico Television (W) 110 103
8 Lanus (W) 000 000
8 Racing Club (W) 000 000
10 Boca Juniors (W) 101 120
11 Belgrano (W) 101 010
11 River Plate (W) 101 010
11 CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) 101 010
14 Gimnasia LP (W) 101 020
15 Newell's Old Boys (W) 101 140
16 CA Independiente Women 101 030

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNewell's Old Boys (W)Lanus (W)
San Luis FC (W) 1-4 L 1-1 D
Union Santa Fe (W) 2-0 W 1-0 W
CA Independiente Women 0-1 L 0-1 L
Huracan (W) 0-2 L 0-0 D
Belgrano (W) 0-1 L 3-2 W
Social Atletico Television (W) 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lanus (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Newell's Old Boys (W)

LDLLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 San Luis FC (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 1-4 32 L
22/07 Union Santa Fe (W)
Argentina Championship Women
2-0 W
12/07 CA Independiente Women
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 63 L
08/07 Huracan (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 0-2 04 L
04/07 Belgrano (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 16 L
26/06 River Plate (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 15 L
21/06 Banfield (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 0-2 34 L
14/06 Gimnasia LP (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 1-2 36 L
24/05 Social Atletico Television (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/05 Racing Club (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-1 48 L

Lanus (W)

WDLWDWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 San Lorenzo (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 1-0 24 W
12/07 CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 1-1 11 D
08/07 Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 0-1 56 L
05/07 Boca Juniors (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 0-1 25 L
27/06 Social Atletico Television (W)
Argentina Championship Women
2-0 2-0 71 W
20/06 San Luis FC (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 1-1 14 D
13/06 Union Santa Fe (W)
Argentina Championship Women
1-0 1-0 56 W
23/05 CA Independiente Women
Argentina Championship Women
0-1 0-1 64 L
15/05 Huracan (W)
Argentina Championship Women
0-0 0-0 10 D
09/05 Belgrano (W)
Argentina Championship Women
2-0 3-2 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Lanus (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Newell's Old Boys (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Newell's Old Boys (W) 42%, draw 32%, Lanus (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Lanus (W)?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Newell's Old Boys (W) 1.09 · Lanus (W) 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Lanus (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.