Football · Argentina Championship Women · 02/08, 20:00
Prediction: Banfield (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)
Team pages: Banfield (W) · Union Santa Fe (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Banfield (W)1.96
Union Santa Fe (W)0.73
1X2
Banfield (W)
Draw
Union Santa Fe (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Union Santa Fe (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield (W)
1–0
Union Santa Fe (W)
(1 last)
- Union Santa Fe (W)0-1Banfield (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield (W) 1484 · Union Santa Fe (W) 1408
| Banfield (W) | Draw | Union Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banfield (W) (rating 1484 vs 1408).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield (W) | Union Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 0.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.5 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield (W) 1–0–0 Union Santa Fe (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Argentina Championship Women | Union Santa Fe (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Banfield (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Huracan (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Racing Club (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Belgrano (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield (W) | Union Santa Fe (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Racing Club (W) | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Santa Fe (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
Union Santa Fe (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Banfield (W) 66%, draw 21%, Union Santa Fe (W) 13%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Banfield (W) 1.96 · Union Santa Fe (W) 0.73), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.