Football · Argentina Championship Women · 02/08, 16:30
Prediction: Gimnasia LP (W) vs San Luis FC (W)
Team pages: Gimnasia LP (W) · San Luis FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Gimnasia LP (W)1.68
San Luis FC (W)1.21
1X2
Gimnasia LP (W)
Draw
San Luis FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia LP (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
San Luis FC (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia LP (W)
3–1–1
San Luis FC (W)
(5 last)
- San Luis FC (W)2-2Gimnasia LP (W)
- San Luis FC (W)0-1Gimnasia LP (W)
- San Luis FC (W)0-1Gimnasia LP (W)
- San Luis FC (W)1-4Gimnasia LP (W)
- Gimnasia LP (W)0-2San Luis FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia LP (W) 1506 · San Luis FC (W) 1484
| Gimnasia LP (W) | Draw | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 30% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP (W): 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia LP (W) | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia LP (W) 3–1–1 San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 08/11/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 0-1 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 25/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 19/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 07/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Huracan (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Racing Club (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Belgrano (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia LP (W) | San Luis FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis FC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia LP (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia LP (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Gimnasia LP (W) 46%, draw 28%, San Luis FC (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia LP (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Gimnasia LP (W) 1.68 · San Luis FC (W) 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia LP (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.