Football · Argentina Championship Women · 03/08, 20:00
Prediction: Racing Club (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)
Team pages: Racing Club (W) · Boca Juniors (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Racing Club (W)1.39
Boca Juniors (W)0.89
1X2
Racing Club (W)
Draw
Boca Juniors (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club (W)
3–1–2
Boca Juniors (W)
(6 last)
- Boca Juniors (W)2-3Racing Club (W)
- Boca Juniors (W)0-1Racing Club (W)
- Racing Club (W)2-0Boca Juniors (W)
- Boca Juniors (W)1-0Racing Club (W)
- Racing Club (W)1-2Boca Juniors (W)
- Boca Juniors (W)1-1Racing Club (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club (W) 1615 · Boca Juniors (W) 1492
| Racing Club (W) | Draw | Boca Juniors (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1615 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Racing Club (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club (W) | Boca Juniors (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club (W) 3–1–2 Boca Juniors (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Racing Club (W) |
| 06/12/25 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club (W) |
| 23/11/25 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 20/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club (W) |
| 21/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 05/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Racing Club (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Huracan (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Racing Club (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Belgrano (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club (W) | Boca Juniors (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis FC (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Huracan (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| River Plate (W) | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Boca Juniors (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 13/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Racing Club (W) 47%, draw 30%, Boca Juniors (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Racing Club (W) 1.39 · Boca Juniors (W) 0.89), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.