Football · Argentina Championship Women · 03/08, 20:00
Prediction: San Lorenzo (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Team pages: San Lorenzo (W) · Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
San Lorenzo (W)1.4
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0.74
1X2
San Lorenzo (W)
Draw
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
San Lorenzo (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo (W)
2–2–2
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
(6 last)
- Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0-1San Lorenzo (W)
- Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0-2San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)0-0Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
- Ferro Carril Oeste (W)2-1San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)0-1Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
- Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0-0San Lorenzo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Lorenzo (W) 1593 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1511
| San Lorenzo (W) | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Lorenzo (W) (rating 1593 vs 1511).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Lorenzo (W) | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Lorenzo (W) 2–2–2 Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 29/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 16/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 03/12/23 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
| 02/05/23 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Huracan (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Racing Club (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Belgrano (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Lorenzo (W) | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (W) | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Lanus (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| San Luis FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 2-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Huracan (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| River Plate (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Lorenzo (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 29/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 22/05 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Lorenzo (W) win (52%). Probabilities: San Lorenzo (W) 52%, draw 29%, Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in San Lorenzo (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
The model expects 2.14 goals (San Lorenzo (W) 1.4 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 0.74), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.