Football · Argentina Championship Women · 27/07, 20:00

Prediction: San Luis FC (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.88Total

San Luis FC (W)1.19

Newell's Old Boys (W)0.69

1X2

48% 31% 21%

San Luis FC (W) Draw Newell's Old Boys (W)

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

San Luis FC (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDDDWLLL

Newell's Old Boys (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

San Luis FC (W) 3–1–2 Newell's Old Boys (W) (6 last)

Newell's Old Boys (W)0-0San Luis FC (W)
San Luis FC (W)1-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
San Luis FC (W)0-2Newell's Old Boys (W)
San Luis FC (W)3-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
Newell's Old Boys (W)2-1San Luis FC (W)
Newell's Old Boys (W)0-1San Luis FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Luis FC (W) 1491 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1407

	San Luis FC (W)	Draw	Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model	47%	33%	20%
Market	48%	30%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis FC (W) (rating 1491 vs 1407).
H2H favours San Luis FC (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Luis FC (W)	Newell's Old Boys (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.7	0.8 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.91
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.30 ★
2	4.33 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +15’	1.80	3.00	4.33
16:14 +4’	1.85▲	3.00	4.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:20	1.91	3.30	3.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis FC (W) 3–1–2 Newell's Old Boys (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Argentina Championship Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	San Luis FC (W)
29/09/25 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Newell's Old Boys (W)
26/04/25 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Newell's Old Boys (W)
11/08/24 Argentina Championship Women	San Luis FC (W)	3-1	Newell's Old Boys (W)
16/03/24 Argentina Championship Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	San Luis FC (W)
09/07/23 Argentina Primera B Women	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	San Luis FC (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banfield (W)	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	Boca Juniors (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Belgrano (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Huracan (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Lanus (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	River Plate (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	San Lorenzo (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Gimnasia LP (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Newell's Old Boys (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Racing Club (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	San Luis FC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Social Atletico Television (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Union Santa Fe (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	CA Independiente Women	1	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Luis FC (W)	Newell's Old Boys (W)
Racing Club (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
San Lorenzo (W)	0-1 L	0-5 L
Social Atletico Television (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
Union Santa Fe (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
CA Independiente Women	0-1 L	0-1 L
Huracan (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: San Luis FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Luis FC (W)

DLWDDDWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
13/07	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
08/07	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
04/07	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
28/06	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/06	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
14/06	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-2	2-2	1	4	D
23/05	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	3-0	3	1	W
15/05	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
10/05	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	5	2	D

Newell's Old Boys (W)

LLDLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/07	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
08/07	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
04/07	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
26/06	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
21/06	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
14/06	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
24/05	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/05	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
08/05	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-5	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Luis FC (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis FC (W) win (48%). Probabilities: San Luis FC (W) 48%, draw 31%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in San Luis FC (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?

The model expects 1.88 goals (San Luis FC (W) 1.19 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.69), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Luis FC (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.