Football · Argentina Championship Women · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Huracan (W) vs River Plate (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Huracan (W)0.91
River Plate (W)1.43
1X2
Huracan (W)
Draw
River Plate (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Huracan (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
River Plate (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Huracan (W)
1–1–4
River Plate (W)
(6 last)
- River Plate (W)3-1Huracan (W)
- River Plate (W)0-1Huracan (W)
- Huracan (W)0-0River Plate (W)
- River Plate (W)1-0Huracan (W)
- River Plate (W)3-0Huracan (W)
- Huracan (W)1-3River Plate (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huracan (W) 1440 · River Plate (W) 1519
| Huracan (W) | Draw | River Plate (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 29% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (W) (rating 1440 vs 1519).
- H2H favours River Plate (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huracan (W) | River Plate (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huracan (W) 1–1–4 River Plate (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Huracan (W) |
| 01/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Huracan (W) |
| 06/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | River Plate (W) |
| 20/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Huracan (W) |
| 04/06/23 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Huracan (W) |
| 09/11/22 Argentina Copa Federal Women | Huracan (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | River Plate (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Huracan (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lanus (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Racing Club (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Luis FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Belgrano (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Huracan (W) | River Plate (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Banfield (W) | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: River Plate (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huracan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 29/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 15/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 25/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
River Plate (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 25/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 21/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Huracan (W) vs River Plate (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an River Plate (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Huracan (W) 23%, draw 29%, River Plate (W) 48%.
How many goals are expected in Huracan (W) vs River Plate (W)?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Huracan (W) 0.91 · River Plate (W) 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Huracan (W) vs River Plate (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.