Football · El Salvador Apertura · 18/10, 23:00

Prediction: Atlético Balboa vs CD Aguila

Team pages: Atlético Balboa · CD Aguila

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Atlético Balboa1.16
CD Aguila1.62
1X2
26% 26% 47%
Atlético Balboa Draw CD Aguila
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Atlético Balboa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLWLDLLL
CD Aguila 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Atlético Balboa 1–0 CD Aguila (1 last)
  • CD Aguila2-4Atlético Balboa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlético Balboa 1447 · CD Aguila 1541
Atlético BalboaDrawCD Aguila
Our model26%27%47%
Market27%26%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Aguila (rating 1447 vs 1541).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atlético BalboaCD Aguila
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.61.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.40.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.83 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.35.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Balboa 1–0–0 CD Aguila

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
El Salvador Apertura
CD Aguila2-4
HT 2-1
Atlético Balboa

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Luis Angel Firpo 15942 281131
2 CD FAS 14932 251230
3 AD Isidro Metapan 15924 231729
4 CD Aguila 15654 251823
5 Internacional Santa Tecla 16583 221623
6 Alianza FC 15483 222120
7 Municipal Limeno 16628 232320
8 CD Platense Zacatecoluca 15546 192019
9 CD INCA Aruba 16448 132916
10 Atlético Balboa 15348 152313
11 CD Cacahuatique 16268 152612
12 Fuerte San Francisco 16268 132712

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtlético BalboaCD Aguila
CD FAS 0-1 L 0-1 L
AD Isidro Metapan 2-3 L 3-0 W
CD Cacahuatique 0-2 L 4-1 W
Internacional Santa Tecla 1-1 D 2-1 W
CD Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 L 0-2 L
CD Platense Zacatecoluca 3-1 W 1-0 W
CD INCA Aruba 0-1 L 3-1 W
Municipal Limeno 0-2 L 0-0 D
Alianza FC 0-2 L 2-2 D
Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 7 L 6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Aguila (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlético Balboa

WLLLWLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 CD FAS
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-1 27 L
04/10 AD Isidro Metapan
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 2-3 54 L
29/09 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Apertura
0-1 0-2 26 L
27/09 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Apertura
0-1 1-1 43 D
21/09 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Apertura
1-1 1-3 15 L
12/09 CD Platense Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Apertura
0-1 3-1 45 W
09/09 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-1 52 L
06/09 Municipal Limeno
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-2 28 L
30/08 Alianza FC
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-2 14 L
23/08 Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 1-0 27 W

CD Aguila

LWDDWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 AD Isidro Metapan
El Salvador Apertura
1-0 3-0 64 W
03/10 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Apertura
2-0 4-1 35 W
30/09 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 2-1 41 W
27/09 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Apertura
0-1 0-2 912 L
20/09 CD Platense Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Apertura
1-0 1-0 47 W
12/09 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Apertura
1-0 3-1 30 W
10/09 Municipal Limeno
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-0 710 D
06/09 Alianza FC
El Salvador Apertura
1-1 2-2 49 D
30/08 Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Apertura
1-1 4-1 86 W
23/08 CD FAS
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-1 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlético Balboa vs CD Aguila?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Aguila win (47%). Probabilities: Atlético Balboa 26%, draw 26%, CD Aguila 47%.

How many goals are expected in Atlético Balboa vs CD Aguila?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Atlético Balboa 1.16 · CD Aguila 1.62), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlético Balboa vs CD Aguila?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.