Football · El Salvador Apertura · 08/11, 01:00

Prediction: Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Luis Angel Firpo

Team pages: Internacional Santa Tecla · CD Luis Angel Firpo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Internacional Santa Tecla1.14

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.21

1X2

34% 28% 37%

Internacional Santa Tecla Draw CD Luis Angel Firpo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Internacional Santa Tecla 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDLDDLWD

CD Luis Angel Firpo 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWDDW

Head-to-head

Internacional Santa Tecla 0–2–3 CD Luis Angel Firpo (5 last)

CD Luis Angel Firpo3-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla0-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo0-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla1-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-0Internacional Santa Tecla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional Santa Tecla 1479 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1575

	Internacional Santa Tecla	Draw	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model	33%	31%	36%
Market	35%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1479 vs 1575).
H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 3-2-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Internacional Santa Tecla	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.1	2.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.72
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.15 → 2.35▲	Pinn 2.54 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +9’	2.80	3.40	2.15
07:33 +41’	2.55▼	3.40	2.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:58 +26’	2.72	3.09	2.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional Santa Tecla 0–2–3 CD Luis Angel Firpo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	3-0 HT 3-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
29/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	0-3 HT 0-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
01/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-0 HT 0-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
05/10/25 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
03/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-0 HT 0-0	Internacional Santa Tecla

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	18	10	6	2	32	13	36
2	CD FAS	18	9	5	4	29	19	32
3	AD Isidro Metapan	19	9	5	5	25	20	32
4	CD Aguila	18	8	6	4	34	24	30
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	18	6	9	3	24	16	27
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	18	7	6	5	25	20	27
7	Municipal Limeno	19	6	5	8	28	28	23
8	Alianza FC	18	5	8	5	23	24	23
9	Atlético Balboa	18	4	5	9	17	28	17
10	CD INCA Aruba	19	4	5	10	14	33	17
11	CD Cacahuatique	18	3	7	8	19	29	16
12	Fuerte San Francisco	19	2	7	10	18	34	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Internacional Santa Tecla	CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0-0 D	1-1 D
CD INCA Aruba	2-0 W	2-0 W
Municipal Limeno	1-2 L	3-2 W
Alianza FC	2-2 D	2-0 W
Fuerte San Francisco	1-1 D	3-0 W
CD Aguila	1-2 L	2-0 W
Atlético Balboa	1-1 D	3-1 W
CD FAS	2-2 D	1-1 D
CD Cacahuatique	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 2 L	6 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional Santa Tecla

WDDDLDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
24/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
17/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
12/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
05/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
30/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
27/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
20/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
17/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
13/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	2	W

CD Luis Angel Firpo

WDWWDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/11	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	7	5	W
02/11	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
25/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
16/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
11/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
04/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
01/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	3	12	W
24/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
21/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Luis Angel Firpo win (37%). Probabilities: Internacional Santa Tecla 34%, draw 28%, CD Luis Angel Firpo 37%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Internacional Santa Tecla 1.14 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.