Football · El Salvador Apertura · 14/11, 02:00

Prediction: AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Luis Angel Firpo

Team pages: AD Isidro Metapan · CD Luis Angel Firpo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

AD Isidro Metapan1.14

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.14

1X2

35% 29% 35%

AD Isidro Metapan Draw CD Luis Angel Firpo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Isidro Metapan 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLDDW

CD Luis Angel Firpo 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDDWWD

Head-to-head

AD Isidro Metapan 3–1–2 CD Luis Angel Firpo (6 last)

CD Luis Angel Firpo1-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan1-2CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo0-2AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan1-0CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan2-1CD Luis Angel Firpo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Isidro Metapan 1526 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1564

	AD Isidro Metapan	Draw	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model	34%	31%	34%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AD Isidro Metapan: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Isidro Metapan	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.3	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.20

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:29 +38’	2.45	3.20	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Isidro Metapan 3–1–2 CD Luis Angel Firpo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-1 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan
07/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-2 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
16/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-2 HT 0-1	AD Isidro Metapan
19/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
02/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-1 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan
01/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	2-1 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	20	11	7	2	35	15	40
2	AD Isidro Metapan	20	10	5	5	27	21	35
3	CD FAS	20	9	7	4	33	23	34
4	CD Aguila	19	8	6	5	36	27	30
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	20	6	10	4	27	20	28
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	20	7	6	7	26	24	27
7	Alianza FC	20	6	8	6	26	27	26
8	Municipal Limeno	20	6	5	9	31	32	23
9	CD Cacahuatique	20	4	8	8	22	30	20
10	Atlético Balboa	19	5	5	9	21	31	20
11	Fuerte San Francisco	21	3	8	10	21	36	17
12	CD INCA Aruba	19	4	5	10	14	33	17

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Isidro Metapan	CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	2-1 W	1-1 D
CD INCA Aruba	1-1 D	2-0 W
Municipal Limeno	1-1 D	3-2 W
Alianza FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
CD FAS	0-0 D	1-1 D
Fuerte San Francisco	3-2 W	3-0 W
CD Aguila	0-3 L	2-0 W
CD Cacahuatique	2-0 W	1-1 D
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 2 L	6 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Isidro Metapan

DWWLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-1	12	5	W
07/11	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
01/11	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
24/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
22/10	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
18/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-2	7	4	W
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
04/10	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-2	10	4	W
27/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
20/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D

CD Luis Angel Firpo

WWDWWDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/11	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
05/11	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	7	5	W
02/11	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
25/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
16/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
11/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
04/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
01/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	3	12	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Isidro Metapan win (35%). Probabilities: AD Isidro Metapan 35%, draw 29%, CD Luis Angel Firpo 35%.

How many goals are expected in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model expects 2.28 goals (AD Isidro Metapan 1.14 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.