Football · El Salvador Apertura · 15/11, 01:00

Prediction: Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Cacahuatique

Team pages: Internacional Santa Tecla · CD Cacahuatique

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Internacional Santa Tecla1.47

CD Cacahuatique1.07

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Internacional Santa Tecla Draw CD Cacahuatique

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Internacional Santa Tecla 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDDLWDLD

CD Cacahuatique 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDDWWD

Head-to-head

Internacional Santa Tecla 2–1–2 CD Cacahuatique (5 last)

CD Cacahuatique0-2Internacional Santa Tecla
CD Cacahuatique5-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla2-1CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique0-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla1-2CD Cacahuatique

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional Santa Tecla 1486 · CD Cacahuatique 1503

	Internacional Santa Tecla	Draw	CD Cacahuatique
Our model	45%	29%	26%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Internacional Santa Tecla	CD Cacahuatique
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.6	2.7 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.91▲	Pinn 1.95
X	3.80 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	4.00 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.72 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:02 +6’	1.67	3.80	4.00
08:05 +1’	1.91▲	3.60▼	3.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:58 +9’	1.95	3.30	3.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional Santa Tecla 2–1–2 CD Cacahuatique

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Cacahuatique	0-2 HT 0-1	Internacional Santa Tecla
21/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	5-0 HT 4-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
25/01/26 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	2-1 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
29/09/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Cacahuatique	0-0 HT 0-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
28/07/25 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	1-2 HT 1-0	CD Cacahuatique

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	20	11	7	2	35	15	40
2	AD Isidro Metapan	20	10	5	5	27	21	35
3	CD FAS	20	9	7	4	33	23	34
4	CD Aguila	20	8	7	5	37	28	31
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	20	6	10	4	27	20	28
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	20	7	6	7	26	24	27
7	Alianza FC	20	6	8	6	26	27	26
8	Municipal Limeno	21	6	6	9	32	33	24
9	Atlético Balboa	20	6	5	9	25	32	23
10	CD Cacahuatique	20	4	8	8	22	30	20
11	Fuerte San Francisco	21	3	8	10	21	36	17
12	CD INCA Aruba	20	4	5	11	15	37	17

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Internacional Santa Tecla	CD Cacahuatique
CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-2 L	1-1 D
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0-0 D	2-0 W
CD INCA Aruba	2-0 W	1-0 W
Municipal Limeno	1-2 L	3-3 D
Alianza FC	2-2 D	0-0 D
Fuerte San Francisco	1-1 D	1-2 L
CD Aguila	1-2 L	1-4 L
Atlético Balboa	1-1 D	2-0 W
AD Isidro Metapan	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional Santa Tecla

DDLDDLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
08/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
31/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
24/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
17/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
12/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
05/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
30/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
27/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
20/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

CD Cacahuatique

DLWLLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
07/11	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	10	7	W
31/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
25/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	2-1	3-3	2	4	D
17/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
10/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
03/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-4	6	5	L
29/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
27/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
24/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Cacahuatique?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional Santa Tecla win (46%). Probabilities: Internacional Santa Tecla 46%, draw 27%, CD Cacahuatique 27%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Internacional Santa Tecla 1.47 · CD Cacahuatique 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.