Football · El Salvador Apertura · 15/11, 22:00

Prediction: CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Atlético Balboa

Team pages: CD Platense Zacatecoluca · Atlético Balboa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

CD Platense Zacatecoluca1.49

Atlético Balboa1.33

1X2

40% 28% 33%

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Draw Atlético Balboa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDDLL

Atlético Balboa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLLDWWWW

Head-to-head

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1–0 Atlético Balboa (1 last)

Atlético Balboa0-3CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1505 · Atlético Balboa 1493

	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	Draw	Atlético Balboa
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	40%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	Atlético Balboa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.25

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.32
X	3.40 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	3.60 → 2.75▼	Pinn 2.94 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +6’	1.83	3.40	3.60
06:09 +12’	2.25▲	3.25▼	2.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +17’	2.37	3.18	2.88
12:33 +15’	2.32▼	3.19▲	2.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1–0–0 Atlético Balboa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 El Salvador Apertura	Atlético Balboa	0-3 HT 0-1	CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	20	11	7	2	35	15	40
2	AD Isidro Metapan	20	10	5	5	27	21	35
3	CD FAS	20	9	7	4	33	23	34
4	CD Aguila	20	8	7	5	37	28	31
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	20	6	10	4	27	20	28
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	20	7	6	7	26	24	27
7	Alianza FC	20	6	8	6	26	27	26
8	Municipal Limeno	21	6	6	9	32	33	24
9	Atlético Balboa	20	6	5	9	25	32	23
10	CD Cacahuatique	20	4	8	8	22	30	20
11	Fuerte San Francisco	21	3	8	10	21	36	17
12	CD INCA Aruba	20	4	5	11	15	37	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	Atlético Balboa
AD Isidro Metapan	1-2 L	2-3 L
CD Cacahuatique	0-2 L	0-2 L
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-0 D	1-1 D
CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-1 D	1-3 L
CD FAS	3-2 W	0-1 L
CD INCA Aruba	4-1 W	4-1 W
Municipal Limeno	2-1 W	4-3 W
Alianza FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Fuerte San Francisco	0-0 D	2-1 W
CD Aguila	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Atlético Balboa (3 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Platense Zacatecoluca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
07/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
31/10	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
25/10	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
19/10	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-2	3	8	W
10/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
04/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-1	7	5	W
01/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	9	6	L
27/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	2	7	L

Atlético Balboa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	3-1	4-1	6	4	W
09/11	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-3	4-3	7	3	W
01/11	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	7	9	W
25/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	0	6	W
18/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
11/10	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
04/10	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-3	5	4	L
29/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
27/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
21/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-3	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Atlético Balboa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Platense Zacatecoluca win (40%). Probabilities: CD Platense Zacatecoluca 40%, draw 28%, Atlético Balboa 33%.

How many goals are expected in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Atlético Balboa?

The model expects 2.82 goals (CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1.49 · Atlético Balboa 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Atlético Balboa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.