Football · El Salvador Apertura · 17/10, 23:00
Prediction: CD Cacahuatique vs Alianza FC
Team pages: CD Cacahuatique · Alianza FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
CD Cacahuatique1.06
Alianza FC1.46
1X2
CD Cacahuatique
Draw
Alianza FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Cacahuatique
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Alianza FC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Cacahuatique
0–2–4
Alianza FC
(6 last)
- Alianza FC0-0CD Cacahuatique
- Alianza FC2-1CD Cacahuatique
- CD Cacahuatique1-1Alianza FC
- Alianza FC3-0CD Cacahuatique
- CD Cacahuatique1-2Alianza FC
- Alianza FC2-1CD Cacahuatique
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Cacahuatique 1407 · Alianza FC 1511
| CD Cacahuatique | Draw | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 29% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alianza FC (rating 1407 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Alianza FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Cacahuatique | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cacahuatique 0–2–4 Alianza FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 El Salvador Apertura | Alianza FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 19/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 21/01/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Cacahuatique | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC |
| 14/12/25 El Salvador Apertura | Alianza FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 07/12/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD Cacahuatique | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Alianza FC |
| 25/09/25 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | CD Cacahuatique |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD FAS | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AD Isidro Metapan | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 4 | CD Aguila | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Alianza FC | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeno | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | CD INCA Aruba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 12 | CD Cacahuatique | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Cacahuatique | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Fuerte San Francisco | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| CD Aguila | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Atlético Balboa | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| CD FAS | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Internacional Santa Tecla | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CD INCA Aruba | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Municipal Limeno | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 6 L | 3 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alianza FC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Cacahuatique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/09 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/09 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 29/08 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Alianza FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 09/10 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/10 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/09 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Cacahuatique vs Alianza FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alianza FC win (45%). Probabilities: CD Cacahuatique 27%, draw 28%, Alianza FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in CD Cacahuatique vs Alianza FC?
The model expects 2.52 goals (CD Cacahuatique 1.06 · Alianza FC 1.46), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Cacahuatique vs Alianza FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.