Football · El Salvador Apertura · 09/11, 02:00
Prediction: CD FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco
Team pages: CD FAS · Fuerte San Francisco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
CD FAS2.17
Fuerte San Francisco0.78
1X2
CD FAS
Draw
Fuerte San Francisco
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD FAS
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Fuerte San Francisco
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD FAS
4–1–1
Fuerte San Francisco
(6 last)
- Fuerte San Francisco0-1CD FAS
- CD FAS3-1Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco1-1CD FAS
- CD FAS3-0Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco0-8CD FAS
- CD FAS0-3Fuerte San Francisco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD FAS 1543 · Fuerte San Francisco 1430
| CD FAS | Draw | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1543 vs 1430).
- H2H favours CD FAS: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD FAS | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD FAS 4–1–1 Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 El Salvador Apertura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD FAS |
| 23/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD FAS | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 25/01/26 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD FAS |
| 29/09/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD FAS | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 27/07/25 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-8 HT 0-4 | CD FAS |
| 10/04/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD FAS | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 14 | 39 |
| 2 | CD FAS | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | AD Isidro Metapan | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 32 |
| 4 | CD Aguila | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 27 |
| 6 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 27 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeno | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 23 |
| 9 | CD Cacahuatique | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | 17 |
| 11 | CD INCA Aruba | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 17 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 13 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD FAS | Fuerte San Francisco |
|---|---|---|
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| CD Aguila | 1-3 L | 3-4 L |
| AD Isidro Metapan | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Atlético Balboa | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Alianza FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| CD INCA Aruba | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Municipal Limeno | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Cacahuatique | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Internacional Santa Tecla | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: CD FAS (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD FAS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 24/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/10 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 19/10 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/10 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 28/09 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/10 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/10 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD FAS win (69%). Probabilities: CD FAS 69%, draw 20%, Fuerte San Francisco 12%.
How many goals are expected in CD FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The model expects 2.95 goals (CD FAS 2.17 · Fuerte San Francisco 0.78), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CD FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.