Football · El Salvador Apertura · 10/11, 22:30

Prediction: CD Cacahuatique vs CD Luis Angel Firpo

Team pages: CD Cacahuatique · CD Luis Angel Firpo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

CD Cacahuatique0.97

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.46

1X2

25% 27% 48%

CD Cacahuatique Draw CD Luis Angel Firpo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cacahuatique 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDDWW

CD Luis Angel Firpo 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWDDWW

Head-to-head

CD Cacahuatique 0–1–5 CD Luis Angel Firpo (6 last)

CD Luis Angel Firpo0-0CD Cacahuatique
CD Luis Angel Firpo1-0CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique0-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Cacahuatique1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo3-0CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cacahuatique 1474 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1593

	CD Cacahuatique	Draw	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model	24%	29%	47%
Market	26%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1474 vs 1593).
H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cacahuatique	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.5	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +10’	3.50	3.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cacahuatique 0–1–5 CD Luis Angel Firpo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/09/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
02/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
25/02/26 El Salvador Cup	CD Cacahuatique	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
04/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	1-3 HT 1-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
12/10/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	3-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
10/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	1-3 HT 1-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	19	11	6	2	34	14	39
2	CD FAS	19	9	6	4	31	21	33
3	AD Isidro Metapan	19	9	5	5	25	20	32
4	CD Aguila	19	8	6	5	36	27	30
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	19	6	9	4	25	18	27
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	19	7	6	6	25	22	27
7	Alianza FC	19	6	8	5	26	26	26
8	Municipal Limeno	20	6	5	9	31	32	23
9	Atlético Balboa	19	5	5	9	21	31	20
10	CD Cacahuatique	19	4	7	8	21	29	19
11	CD INCA Aruba	19	4	5	10	14	33	17
12	Fuerte San Francisco	20	2	8	10	20	36	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cacahuatique	CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	2-0 W	1-1 D
CD INCA Aruba	1-0 W	2-0 W
Municipal Limeno	3-3 D	3-2 W
Alianza FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Fuerte San Francisco	1-2 L	3-0 W
CD Aguila	1-4 L	2-0 W
CD FAS	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cacahuatique

LDLWLLDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	10	7	W
31/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
25/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	2-1	3-3	2	4	D
17/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
10/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
03/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-4	6	5	L
29/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
27/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
24/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
19/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	5	5	L

CD Luis Angel Firpo

DWWDWWDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
05/11	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	7	5	W
02/11	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
25/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
16/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
11/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
04/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
01/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	3	12	W
24/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cacahuatique vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Luis Angel Firpo win (48%). Probabilities: CD Cacahuatique 25%, draw 27%, CD Luis Angel Firpo 48%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cacahuatique vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model expects 2.43 goals (CD Cacahuatique 0.97 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cacahuatique vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.