Football · El Salvador Apertura · 01/11, 02:00

Prediction: AD Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno

Team pages: AD Isidro Metapan · Municipal Limeno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

AD Isidro Metapan1.58

Municipal Limeno0.99

1X2

51% 26% 23%

AD Isidro Metapan Draw Municipal Limeno

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Isidro Metapan 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWLWDL

Municipal Limeno 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLLWD

Head-to-head

AD Isidro Metapan 3–1–2 Municipal Limeno (6 last)

Municipal Limeno3-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan1-0Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno0-0AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan3-2Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno1-2AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan1-2Municipal Limeno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Isidro Metapan 1508 · Municipal Limeno 1480

	AD Isidro Metapan	Draw	Municipal Limeno
Our model	50%	28%	22%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AD Isidro Metapan: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Isidro Metapan	Municipal Limeno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 7	2.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.50

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.85
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.15 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:26 +4’	1.75	3.50	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:28 +3’	1.83	3.28	3.90
03:38 +45’	1.85▲	3.36▲	4.01▲
01:10 +11’	1.84▼	3.38▲	4.07▲
00:20 +44’	1.85▲	3.43▲	4.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Isidro Metapan 3–1–2 Municipal Limeno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 El Salvador Apertura	Municipal Limeno	3-1 HT 1-0	AD Isidro Metapan
22/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-0 HT 0-0	Municipal Limeno
25/01/26 El Salvador Clausura	Municipal Limeno	0-0 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan
28/09/25 El Salvador Apertura	AD Isidro Metapan	3-2 HT 3-0	Municipal Limeno
29/08/25 El Salvador Apertura	Municipal Limeno	1-2 HT 0-1	AD Isidro Metapan
11/05/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-2 HT 0-0	Municipal Limeno

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	16	9	5	2	29	12	32
2	CD FAS	17	9	4	4	28	18	31
3	AD Isidro Metapan	17	9	3	5	23	18	30
4	CD Aguila	17	7	6	4	30	21	27
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	18	6	9	3	24	16	27
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	18	7	6	5	25	20	27
7	Alianza FC	16	5	8	3	23	21	23
8	Municipal Limeno	17	6	3	8	26	26	21
9	CD INCA Aruba	17	4	4	9	13	31	16
10	Atletico Balboa	17	3	5	9	16	28	14
11	CD Cacahuatique	17	2	7	8	18	29	13
12	Fuerte San Francisco	17	2	6	9	14	29	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Isidro Metapan	Municipal Limeno
Alianza FC	0-1 L	2-3 L
CD FAS	0-0 D	1-3 L
Fuerte San Francisco	3-2 W	2-0 W
CD Aguila	0-3 L	0-0 D
Atlético Balboa	3-2 W	2-0 W
CD Cacahuatique	2-0 W	3-3 D
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-0 D	2-1 W
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	2-1 W	1-2 L
CD INCA Aruba	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Municipal Limeno (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Isidro Metapan

LLWDWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
22/10	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
18/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-2	7	4	W
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
04/10	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-2	10	4	W
27/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
20/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
09/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
06/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	12	6	L
29/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-3	13	3	L

Municipal Limeno

WDWLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-2	3-3	4	4	D
17/10	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
11/10	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-3	4	4	L
04/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
02/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-2	1-2	8	6	L
28/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
13/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
10/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
06/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	8	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Isidro Metapan win (51%). Probabilities: AD Isidro Metapan 51%, draw 26%, Municipal Limeno 23%.

How many goals are expected in AD Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno?

The model expects 2.57 goals (AD Isidro Metapan 1.58 · Municipal Limeno 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.