Football · El Salvador Apertura · 11/11, 02:00

Prediction: AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Team pages: AD Isidro Metapan · CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

AD Isidro Metapan1.66

CD Platense Zacatecoluca0.81

1X2

57% 25% 18%

AD Isidro Metapan Draw CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Isidro Metapan 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWDLDD

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWWDDL

Head-to-head

AD Isidro Metapan 2–2–2 CD Platense Zacatecoluca (6 last)

CD Platense Zacatecoluca1-2AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan0-2CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Platense Zacatecoluca1-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan0-0CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Platense Zacatecoluca3-0AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan2-1CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Isidro Metapan 1506 · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1503

	AD Isidro Metapan	Draw	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Our model	56%	27%	17%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Isidro Metapan	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.5	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.70

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.57▲	Pinn 1.65 ★
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	5.25 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +11’	1.53	3.75	5.25
19:00 +2’	1.57▲	3.70▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:51 +12’	1.65	3.60	4.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Isidro Metapan 2–2–2 CD Platense Zacatecoluca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/09/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-2 HT 1-1	AD Isidro Metapan
19/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	0-2 HT 0-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
22/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-1 HT 1-0	AD Isidro Metapan
06/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	AD Isidro Metapan	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
03/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	3-0 HT 1-0	AD Isidro Metapan
06/04/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	2-1 HT 1-1	CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	19	11	6	2	34	14	39
2	CD FAS	19	9	6	4	31	21	33
3	AD Isidro Metapan	19	9	5	5	25	20	32
4	CD Aguila	19	8	6	5	36	27	30
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	19	6	9	4	25	18	27
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	19	7	6	6	25	22	27
7	Alianza FC	19	6	8	5	26	26	26
8	Municipal Limeno	20	6	5	9	31	32	23
9	Atlético Balboa	19	5	5	9	21	31	20
10	CD Cacahuatique	19	4	7	8	21	29	19
11	CD INCA Aruba	19	4	5	10	14	33	17
12	Fuerte San Francisco	20	2	8	10	20	36	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Isidro Metapan	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD INCA Aruba	1-1 D	4-1 W
Municipal Limeno	1-1 D	2-1 W
Alianza FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
CD FAS	0-0 D	3-2 W
Fuerte San Francisco	3-2 W	0-0 D
CD Aguila	0-3 L	0-1 L
CD Cacahuatique	2-0 W	0-2 L
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Platense Zacatecoluca (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Isidro Metapan

WDWWLWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
01/11	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
24/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
22/10	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
18/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-2	7	4	W
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
04/10	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-2	10	4	W
27/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
20/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
09/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	4	5	W

CD Platense Zacatecoluca

LLDLWWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
31/10	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
25/10	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
19/10	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-2	3	8	W
10/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
04/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-1	7	5	W
01/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	9	6	L
27/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
09/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Isidro Metapan win (57%). Probabilities: AD Isidro Metapan 57%, draw 25%, CD Platense Zacatecoluca 18%.

How many goals are expected in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?

The model expects 2.46 goals (AD Isidro Metapan 1.66 · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0.81), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.