Football · Italy Serie A Women · 26/09, 12:30

Prediction: Juventus (W) vs Napoli (W)

Team pages: Juventus (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Juventus (W)2
Napoli (W)0.74
1X2
66% 22% 12%
Juventus (W) Draw Napoli (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventus (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWLWDW
Napoli (W) 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWDLDD
Head-to-head
Juventus (W) 5–1–0 Napoli (W) (6 last)
  • Napoli (W)2-3Juventus (W)
  • Juventus (W)2-1Napoli (W)
  • Napoli (W)1-2Juventus (W)
  • Juventus (W)2-1Napoli (W)
  • Juventus (W)4-0Napoli (W)
  • Juventus (W)1-1Napoli (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventus (W) 1586 · Napoli (W) 1461
Juventus (W)DrawNapoli (W)
Our model66%22%12%
Market66%22%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (W) (rating 1586 vs 1461).
  • H2H favours Juventus (W): 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Juventus (W)Napoli (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/70/0%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.83 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 01.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus (W) 5–1–0 Napoli (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Italy Serie A Women
Napoli (W)2-3
HT 2-2
Juventus (W)
29/01/26
Coppa Italia Women
Juventus (W)2-1
HT 0-0
Napoli (W)
22/01/26
Coppa Italia Women
Napoli (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Juventus (W)
13/12/25
Italy Serie A Women
Juventus (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Napoli (W)
13/09/25
Coppa Italia Women
Juventus (W)4-0
HT 2-0
Napoli (W)
02/02/25
Italy Serie A Women
Juventus (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Napoli (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 AC Milan (W) 000 000
1 Fiorentina (W) 000 000
1 Roma (W) 000 000
1 Como 1907 (W) 000 000
1 Inter Milan (W) 000 000
1 Juventus (W) 000 000
1 Lazio (W) 000 000
1 Parma (W) 000 000
1 Sassuolo (W) 000 000
1 Como (W) 000 000
1 Napoli (W) 000 000
1 Ternana (W) 000 000

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJuventus (W)Napoli (W)
Parma (W) 3-1 W 0-0 D
Inter Milan (W) 3-3 D 2-2 D
Roma (W) 0-1 L 2-2 D
Genoa (W) 0-0 D 4-1 W
AC Milan (W) 0-1 L 0-0 D
Ternana (W) 2-2 D 3-1 W
Lazio (W) 0-0 D 0-1 L
Como (W) 2-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 2 L 2 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Napoli (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus (W)

WDDLDWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 3-1 43 W
10/05 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
3-3 3-3 23 D
02/05 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-2 3-2 41 W
25/04 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 74 L
04/04 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 2-1 32 W
21/03 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 44 D
15/03 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 51 L
22/02 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-1 2-2 54 D
15/02 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 112 D
07/02 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-0 31 W

Napoli (W)

WDDLDWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 1-1 62 D
09/05 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 81 D
02/05 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-2 2-3 01 L
25/04 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 72 D
04/04 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-0 4-1 101 W
21/03 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 2-2 71 D
14/03 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 61 L
21/02 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 103 D
15/02 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-2 2-2 32 D
08/02 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 3-1 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus (W) vs Napoli (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Juventus (W) 66%, draw 22%, Napoli (W) 12%.

How many goals are expected in Juventus (W) vs Napoli (W)?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Juventus (W) 2 · Napoli (W) 0.74), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventus (W) vs Napoli (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.